Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New)

4.5 1434 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.01
+50%
Last month
$ 0.011
+57.89%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.026
-11.67%
In a quarter
$ 0.027
-9.67%
In half a year
$ 0.028
-7.33%
In a year
$ 0.035
+17.33%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
17% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
3048 offers on 7 markets
Updated9 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
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Steam
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2158 offers
from $ 0.07
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
4 offers
from $ 0.09
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4 offers
from $ 0.093
Inspect skin
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New)
Gallery
Sawed-Off | Parched inspecting Sawed-Off | Parched reloading Sawed-Off | Parched holding Sawed-Off | Parched pose-1 Sawed-Off | Parched pose-2 Sawed-Off | Parched pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.03
  • 7 days low: $ 0.02
  • 7 days high: $ 100
  • 7 days price change: 50%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.019
  • 30 days high: $ 100
  • 30 days price change: 57.89%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.01
  • 90 days high: $ 100
  • Year low: $ 0.006
  • Year high: $ 100
  • All time low: $ 0.006
  • All time high: $ 100
  • All time max offers: 6934
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 429
  • Sales for last 7 days: 4022
  • Sales for last 30 days: 18981
  • Sales for last 90 days: 42460
  • All time sales: 110067
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.0457
  • Volatility: 13.83%
  • Liquidity: 10.0%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.026
  • Price forecast change in a month: -11.67%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.027
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -9.67%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.028
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -7.33%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.035
  • Price forecast change in a year: 17.33%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.01
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
📉 Sell
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.028
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.025
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
✋ Hold
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.014
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
📉 Sell
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.018
Action
📉 Sell
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.018
Action
📉 Sell
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.028
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.025
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
✋ Hold
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
17%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1813
2922
2318
9370
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 32
  • Spread: 62.0
  • Rate of fire: 71
  • Movement speed: 210
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 0.6
36%
From last week
66 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.5
100%
From last month
95 offers on 8 markets
4.8 873006
In a year 117%
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto
Restricted
Normal
Sawed-Off
Apocalypto
Factory New
$ 3.75
47%
From last month
97 offers on 10 markets
4.8 873044
In a quarter -42%
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto
Restricted
Normal
Sawed-Off
Apocalypto
Field-Tested
$ 0.55
77%
From last month
329 offers on 8 markets
4.8 873014
In a year 84%
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto
Restricted
Normal
Sawed-Off
Apocalypto
Minimal Wear
$ 1.24
34%
From last month
185 offers on 8 markets
4.8 873053
In a quarter -35%
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto
Restricted
Normal
Sawed-Off
Apocalypto
Well-Worn
$ 0.53
104%
From last month
239 offers on 8 markets
4.5 9084
Sawed-Off | Bamboo Shadow
Consumer Grade
Normal
Sawed-Off
Bamboo Shadow
4.5 9168
In a year 52%
Sawed-Off | Bamboo Shadow
Consumer Grade
Normal
Sawed-Off
Bamboo Shadow
Battle-Scarred
$ 5.9
64%
From last month
35 offers on 6 markets
4.5 9047
In a year 124%
Sawed-Off | Bamboo Shadow
Consumer Grade
Normal
Sawed-Off
Bamboo Shadow
Factory New
4.5 9113
In a year 76%
Sawed-Off | Bamboo Shadow
Consumer Grade
Normal
Sawed-Off
Bamboo Shadow
Field-Tested
$ 5.2
58%
From last month
96 offers on 8 markets
4.5 9075
In a year 79%
Sawed-Off | Bamboo Shadow
Consumer Grade
Normal
Sawed-Off
Bamboo Shadow
Minimal Wear
4.5 9094
In a year 127%
Sawed-Off | Bamboo Shadow
Consumer Grade
Normal
Sawed-Off
Bamboo Shadow
Well-Worn
4.8 1259
In a year 86%
Sawed-Off | Black Sand
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Sawed-Off
Black Sand
Battle-Scarred
$ 0.09
50%
From last month
278 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1217
In a year 49%
Sawed-Off | Black Sand
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Sawed-Off
Black Sand
Factory New
$ 0.63
67%
From last week
120 offers on 9 markets

Description

History

History

The Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched entered the world of CS2 on September 21st, 2021, and since then has been one of the hottest skins among players. It was only available in the Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, which was released together with the highly expected "Operation Riptide" update and added a touch of desert-inspired style to players' arsenals.

Origin

Origin

This The Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched originally dropped as a rare item within the Antwerp 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, and Stockholm 2021 Dust II Souvenir Package crates. This skin is part of the exclusive 2021 Dust 2 Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) boasts a staggering popularity of 75% in the CS2 community, situating it inside the top 25% of most wanted items within this game-a proof of high demand through its daily volume of sales and price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) is one of 134 other shotgun skins existing in CS2. This skin is relatively common and belongs to the Consumer Grade, which makes it encounter quite often in the game.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) is an extremely cheap skin, ranging from $0.01 to $0.31, thus being very affordable for any player. Currently, it is highly oversupplied on all markets, and about 1.4 million units of the Parched skin reside in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) is considered one of the most wanted skins, and its float value ranges between 0.00 - 0.49 which makes it available in every exterior. Besides, it is possible for a player to get a Souvenir version of the Parched skin for the Sawed-Off in each skin type.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched in Factory New condition has gained a lot of community acceptance, as more than 1.4K votes on addskins.gg gave it an astonishing average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. It is also popular in the professional CS2 scene since it is currently used by such great players as device, fallen, and fnx.

Finish style

Finish style

The Parched finish on this Factory New Souvenir Sawed-Off features a stunning Hydrographic design. As the parts of the weapon are carefully dunked into a water tank, the floating hydrographic film wraps itself around them, creating a different and intriguing pattern each time due to the pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.026 (-11.67%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.027 (-9.67%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.028 (-7.33%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.035 (17.33%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.49
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players