Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)

4.4 1988 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.52
+6%
Last month
$ 0.52
+6%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 9.81
+6.86%
In a quarter
$ 9.61
+4.68%
In half a year
$ 10.51
+14.49%
In a year
$ 20.99
+129.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
60% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
68 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Avan.Market
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from $ 14.08
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2 offers
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from $ 15.93
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from $ 22.9
Inspect skin
Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)
Gallery
SG 553 | Fallout Warning inspecting SG 553 | Fallout Warning reloading SG 553 | Fallout Warning holding SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-1 SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-2 SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 9.18
  • 7 days low: $ 8.66
  • 7 days high: $ 75
  • 7 days price change: 6%
  • 30 days low: $ 8.66
  • 30 days high: $ 75
  • 30 days price change: 6%
  • 90 days low: $ 8.66
  • 90 days high: $ 75
  • Year low: $ 6.86
  • Year high: $ 75
  • All time low: $ 6.86
  • All time high: $ 1 330
  • All time max offers: 97
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 7
  • Sales for last 30 days: 30
  • Sales for last 90 days: 70
  • All time sales: 181
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 4.5
  • Volatility: 11.12%
  • Liquidity: 7.42%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 9.81
  • Price forecast change in a month: 6.86%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 9.61
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 4.68%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 10.51
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 14.49%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 20.99
  • Price forecast change in a year: 129.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 8.6
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.6
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 8.6
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.6
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 8.33
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 7.7
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 10.3
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 10.3
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 10.31
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 11.64
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 10.45
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 10.09
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 11.18
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 12
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 11.99
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 11.16
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 11.5
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 8.99
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 9.64
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 8.6
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
60%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2222
3737
3030
119119
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 30
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 545
  • Movement speed: 210
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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From last week
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$ 0.07
159%
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In a year 269%
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Description

Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning Factory New The SG553 is a premium option for dangerous, high-utility playstyle by a Terrorist operative, offering the same armor-piercing, long-range lethality as the AK47. The hard-matt, radiological warning hazard pattern, painstakingly spray-painted into bright hotspots, creates a graphic that is as unique as it is ominous.

History

History

The SG 553 | Fallout Warning was presented for the first time to the CS2 community on August 13th, 2014, when it was released as part of the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package. It was released simultaneously with the highly anticipated "ESL One Cologne 2014" update, adding a touch of nostalgia and excitement to the game.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning, in Factory New condition, can be acquired through the opening of various containers, such as the Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package. It is also one of the sought-after skins from The Cache Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The Fallout Warning SG 553 | Souvenir is a very popular choice amongst CS2 players, as reflected by the popularity of 75%. For that fact, it's included in the top 25% of the most wanted items in the game, according to its in-game sales frequency and price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) has a total of 255 rifle skin options in CS2. The rarity of this particular skin is Industrial Grade, meaning that it should not be very rare for it to pop up in gameplay.

Availability

Availability

Factory New Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning skin in CS2 will be a pretty cheap option and available for $0.55-$8.59. This skin is Easy to get and is available on multiple markets, it has a huge popularity among players, which resulted in high sales volumes, currently, this skin has 162.9K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning is available in all exteriors in Factory New condition, ranging in float value from 0.00 to 0.80. This means that for collectors, there will be a Souvenir version of the skin in all of the different exteriors, allowing a lot of variety to choose from.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) within CS2 is extremely positive, as evidenced by its average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg, based on over 1.9K votes. Its popularity further cements itself in ownership among professional players such as fallen, apex, and nbk-.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) features a "Spray-Paint" style finish with a peculiar Fallout Warning design. The gun is carefully spray-painted with multiple layers of paint using stencil patterns, and the striking red-tinted primary color is achieved. The pattern index affects the appearance of the Fallout Warning finish, so it looks different, giving each skin a unique feel.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 9.81 (6.86%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 9.61 (4.68%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 10.51 (14.49%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 20.99 (129.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.