Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested)

4.4 2084 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.08
+7.84%
Last month
$ 0.08
+7.84%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.11
+0.91%
In a quarter
$ 1.16
+5.45%
In half a year
$ 1.09
-0.91%
In a year
$ 1.1
0.0%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
72% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
297 offers on 7 markets
Updated9 minutes ago
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from $ 1.1
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from $ 1.13
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from $ 1.15
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152 offers
from $ 1.9
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from $ 2.25
Inspect skin
Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested)
Gallery
SG 553 | Fallout Warning inspecting SG 553 | Fallout Warning reloading SG 553 | Fallout Warning holding SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-1 SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-2 SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.1
  • 7 days low: $ 1.02
  • 7 days high: $ 614
  • 7 days price change: 7.84%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.02
  • 30 days high: $ 624
  • 30 days price change: 7.84%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.74
  • 90 days high: $ 630
  • Year low: $ 0.74
  • Year high: $ 806
  • All time low: $ 0.53
  • All time high: $ 806
  • All time max offers: 473
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 10
  • Sales for last 7 days: 73
  • Sales for last 30 days: 240
  • Sales for last 90 days: 555
  • All time sales: 1606
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.128
  • Volatility: 12.53%
  • Liquidity: 13.26%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.11
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.91%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.16
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 5.45%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1.09
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -0.91%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1.1
  • Price forecast change in a year: 0.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.1
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.21
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.11
10.00%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.97
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.97
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 1.08
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 1.08
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.11
11.34%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.16
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.1
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.04
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.88
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.79
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.78
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.21
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.11
10.00%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.97
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.97
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 1.08
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 1.08
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 1.04
Action
✋ Hold
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.08
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.11
11.34%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.16
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.02
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.1
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.22
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2.07
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2222
3737
3030
119119
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 30
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 545
  • Movement speed: 210
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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263 offers on 9 markets
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In a year 134%
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4.6 2337
In a quarter -36%
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$ 0.09
181%
From last month
109 offers on 8 markets
4.6 2272
In a year 46%
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Factory New
$ 0.38
46%
From last month
843 offers on 9 markets
4.6 2357
In a year 34%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
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Field-Tested
$ 0.12
50%
From last month
1664 offers on 9 markets
4.6 2239
In a year 39%
SG 553 | Aloha
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Minimal Wear
$ 0.15
40%
From last month
629 offers on 8 markets
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SG 553 | Aloha
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Well-Worn
$ 0.1
43%
From last month
308 offers on 9 markets
$ 1.52
45%
From last week
362 offers on 8 markets
4.5 7233
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4.5 7209
In a year 130%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
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Factory New
$ 0.07
159%
From last week
10456 offers on 9 markets
4.5 7121
In a year 269%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
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SG 553
Army Sheen
Field-Tested
4.5 7203
In a year 225%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
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SG 553
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Minimal Wear
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Description

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning is a highly popular terrorist-exclusive rifle, presenting a highly accurate and lethal choice for long-distance engagements. This skin has a radiological warning hazard pattern all over its surface, showing just how uniquely dangerous it can be.

History

History

The SG 553 | Fallout Warning was added to the CS2 weapon pool on August 13th, 2014, during the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package release. It became a sought-after skin due to its association with the "ESL One Cologne 2014" update, which marked a significant event in the competitive CS2 scene.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) is a rare skin and is pulled from one of the 12 containers that house this particular design, including Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package. It is also part of The Cache Collection, adding to its exclusivity and desirability among CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) is quite popular; 75% of CS2 users like it. That is enough to get into the top 25% most wanted skins, which it confidently does due to the constant volume of sales and its quite high price in the skin market.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning Field-Tested occupies a place in the list of 255 rifle skins in CS2. This skin is of Industrial Grade, making it fairly common, so it is often found and frequently seen among players.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) is an affordable skin, ranging in price from $0.55 to $8.59, and is readily accessible as it can be purchased from various markets. It is worth noting that there is a considerable supply of 162.9K units of the Fallout Warning skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) in CS2 is between 0.00 and 0.80, and this makes the skin be available in all its exterior options. There is a Souvenir version of the Fallout Warning in every one of its exterior options.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) acquires very positive community sentiments with a rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, above 1.9K votes on addskins.gg. Besides its popularity among common users, ownership by professional players like fallen, apex, and nbk- gives an additional boost to this gun.

Finish style

Finish style

This Field-Tested Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning features a "Spray-Paint" style, but with several layers of spray paint applied in a very careful manner through stencil patterns. The dominating red tint gives the gun a boost of aggression, while the overall appearance of the Fallout Warning finish has a subtle variation in its pattern index, which makes it unique and authentic.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 1.11 (0.91%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1.16 (5.45%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 1.09 (-0.91%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1.1 (0.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.