Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear)

4.4 2031 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.31
+13.78%
Last month
$ 0.83
+47.98%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.45
-4.3%
In a quarter
$ 2.41
-5.86%
In half a year
$ 2.41
-5.86%
In a year
$ 2.84
+10.94%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
23% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
141 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Skinport
30 offers
from $ 2.56
Lis-skins
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4 offers
from $ 2.73
White.Market
White.Market
21 offers
from $ 2.78
CS.DEALS
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1 offers
from $ 3.19
Steam
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65 offers
from $ 3.56
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
2 offers
from $ 3.76
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
9 offers
from $ 3.92
Bitskins
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5 offers
from $ 3.95
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 7.5
ShadowPay
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2 offers
from $ 7.66
Inspect skin
Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
SG 553 | Fallout Warning inspecting SG 553 | Fallout Warning reloading SG 553 | Fallout Warning holding SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-1 SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-2 SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2.56
  • 7 days low: $ 2.25
  • 7 days high: $ 1 743
  • 7 days price change: 13.78%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.73
  • 30 days high: $ 1 769
  • 30 days price change: 47.98%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.73
  • 90 days high: $ 1 787
  • Year low: $ 1.73
  • Year high: $ 1 787
  • All time low: $ 1.59
  • All time high: $ 1 787
  • All time max offers: 216
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 29
  • Sales for last 30 days: 106
  • Sales for last 90 days: 260
  • All time sales: 869
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2175
  • Volatility: 18.82%
  • Liquidity: 14.19%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.45
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.3%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.41
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -5.86%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 2.41
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -5.86%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2.84
  • Price forecast change in a year: 10.94%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2.44
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.44
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.05
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.39
-15.98%
Result
👎 Fail
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 1.97
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.97
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 2.3
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.33
16.75%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.31
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.44
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.44
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.31
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.33
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.02
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.22
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.3
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.26
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.89
Action
🔥 Buy
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 2.29
Action
🔥 Buy
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 2.05
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.39
-15.98%
Result
👎 Fail
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 1.97
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.97
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 2.3
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.33
16.75%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.31
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.45
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.28
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 2.48
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.06
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 4.41
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
23%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2222
3737
3030
119119
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 30
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 545
  • Movement speed: 210
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 7838
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4.7 7987
In a year 90%
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Battle-Scarred
4.7 7999
In a year 109%
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
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Factory New
$ 0.54
39%
From last month
354 offers on 9 markets
4.7 7933
In a year 124%
SG 553 | Aerial
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Field-Tested
$ 0.25
47%
From last month
778 offers on 9 markets
4.7 7841
In a year 100%
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Minimal Wear
$ 0.28
47%
From last month
252 offers on 9 markets
4.7 7921
In a year 134%
SG 553 | Aerial
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Well-Worn
4.6 2256
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
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SG 553
Aloha
4.6 2337
In a quarter -36%
SG 553 | Aloha
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SG 553
Aloha
Battle-Scarred
$ 0.09
181%
From last month
118 offers on 8 markets
4.6 2272
In a year 46%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
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SG 553
Aloha
Factory New
$ 0.38
46%
From last month
794 offers on 9 markets
4.6 2357
In a year 34%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
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SG 553
Aloha
Field-Tested
$ 0.12
50%
From last month
1628 offers on 9 markets
4.6 2239
In a year 39%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
Minimal Wear
$ 0.15
40%
From last month
405 offers on 7 markets
4.6 2341
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
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SG 553
Aloha
Well-Worn
$ 0.1
43%
From last month
308 offers on 9 markets
$ 1.55
51%
From last week
350 offers on 8 markets
4.5 7233
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
4.5 7209
In a year 130%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Factory New
$ 0.07
159%
From last week
9420 offers on 9 markets
4.5 7121
In a year 269%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Field-Tested
4.5 7203
In a year 225%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Minimal Wear
4.6 2972
SG 553 | Atlas
Mil-Spec Grade
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SG 553
Atlas

Description

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) is a popular terrorist weapon that provides accurate long-range firepower, better than the AK47. Its spray-painted radiological warning hazard patterns add to its uniqueness, and it is the pride of any collector.

History

History

The SG 553 | Fallout Warning was introduced to the world of CS2 on August 13th, 2014, when it was added as part of the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package. This skin is highly in demand and is one of the releases accompanying the major "ESL One Cologne 2014" update.

Origin

Origin

This Souvenir skin can be only received by opening one of 12 cases featuring this skin such as the Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package. Moreover, this skin is a part of The Cache Collection. This in turn increases the attractiveness and exclusiveness of this SG 553 | Fallout Warning souvenir skin.

Popularity

Popularity

The SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) is one of the most popular skins in the CS2 community, with a popularity rating of 75%. This skin is one of the best, in the top 25% of all items in the game, ranked by their daily sales volume and price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) is one of 255 other rifle skins existing in CS2. This skin belongs to the Industrial Grade rarity and is relatively common; it can be frequently seen in gameplay.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) for CS2 represents an affordable way to complete a collection with its price, oscillating from $0.55 to $8.59, and is easily available through numerous markets. Currently available in high supply, there are about 162.9K units circulating in the public inventories of CS2.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) ranges from 0.00 to 0.80, allowing players to obtain this skin in all exteriors, including Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, and Battle-Scarred. Additionally, for each exterior, there is a corresponding Souvenir version of the Fallout Warning available, adding an extra layer of collectibility to the skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) enjoys overwhelmingly positive community sentiment in CS2, as reflected in the fantastic rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars with over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity goes even to professional CS2 players like fallen, apex, and nbk-, who proudly own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning has a "Spray-Paint" finish style with stencil patterns in several layers of spray paint. The dominant reddish tint gives the weapon a touch of boldness and catchiness. The overall look of Fallout Warning is influenced by its pattern index, making it uniquely dynamic.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 2.45 (-4.3%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2.41 (-5.86%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 2.41 (-5.86%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.84 (10.94%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.