Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn)

4.4 1927 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.3
+10.03%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.62
-2.16%
In a quarter
$ 3.79
+2.43%
In half a year
$ 4.1
+10.81%
In a year
$ 3.25
-12.16%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
77% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
27 offers on 7 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
5 offers
from $ 3.29
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
4 offers
from $ 3.38
Steam
Steam
11 offers
from $ 4.38
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 30.05
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 32.94
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
4 offers
from $ 32.95
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 210
Inspect skin
Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn)
Gallery
SG 553 | Fallout Warning inspecting SG 553 | Fallout Warning reloading SG 553 | Fallout Warning holding SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-1 SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-2 SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.29
  • 7 days low: $ 3.29
  • 7 days high: $ 224
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.99
  • 30 days high: $ 224
  • 30 days price change: 10.03%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.62
  • 90 days high: $ 224
  • Year low: $ 2.07
  • Year high: $ 228
  • All time low: $ 1.35
  • All time high: $ 354
  • All time max offers: 55
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 10
  • Sales for last 30 days: 27
  • Sales for last 90 days: 47
  • All time sales: 121
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.1208
  • Volatility: 9.12%
  • Liquidity: 5.9%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.62
  • Price forecast change in a month: -2.16%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.79
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.43%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 4.1
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 10.81%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 3.25
  • Price forecast change in a year: -12.16%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.32
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.32
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.95
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.63
18.98%
Result
👍 Success
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.52
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.58
Action
✋ Hold
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.7
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 3.32
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.32
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.75
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.38
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.63
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.63
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.62
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.95
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.63
18.98%
Result
👍 Success
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.52
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.42
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 3.73
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 3.03
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 3.52
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.73
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.72
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.58
Action
✋ Hold
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.7
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.63
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 3.32
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
77%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2222
3737
3030
119119
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 30
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 545
  • Movement speed: 210
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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Field-Tested
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From last month
778 offers on 9 markets
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In a year 100%
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Minimal Wear
$ 0.28
47%
From last month
252 offers on 9 markets
4.7 7921
In a year 134%
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Well-Worn
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4.6 2337
In a quarter -36%
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Battle-Scarred
$ 0.09
181%
From last month
118 offers on 8 markets
4.6 2272
In a year 46%
SG 553 | Aloha
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Factory New
$ 0.38
46%
From last month
794 offers on 9 markets
4.6 2357
In a year 34%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
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SG 553
Aloha
Field-Tested
$ 0.12
50%
From last month
1628 offers on 9 markets
4.6 2239
In a year 39%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
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SG 553
Aloha
Minimal Wear
$ 0.15
40%
From last month
405 offers on 7 markets
4.6 2341
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
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Well-Worn
$ 0.1
43%
From last month
308 offers on 9 markets
$ 1.55
51%
From last week
350 offers on 8 markets
4.5 7233
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
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SG 553
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4.5 7209
In a year 130%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Factory New
$ 0.07
159%
From last week
9420 offers on 9 markets
4.5 7121
In a year 269%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Field-Tested
4.5 7203
In a year 225%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Minimal Wear
4.6 2972
SG 553 | Atlas
Mil-Spec Grade
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SG 553
Atlas

Description

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is one of the best options for terrorists, having a scope for accurate, long-range engagements, second only to the AK47. The surface has been carefully spray-painted with distinct radiological warning hazard patterns. It is one of the most visually striking and unique weapons on the battlefield.

History

History

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) was released on August 13th, 2014, and was an addition to the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package within the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community. This skin was one of many released in conjunction with the "ESL One Cologne 2014" update, adding a sense of history and nostalgia to the game.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is a rare skin that one gets by opening any one of the 12 containers holding this skin, like Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package. It is also part of The Cache Collection, adding exclusivity to it, hence becoming a desirable piece among players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular skins in CS2, with a popularity of 75%, and is regularly in the top 25% of skins sold per day in terms of pure sales volume and market value. Its popularity speaks for itself regarding its demand among both players and collectors.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is one of 255 other rifle skins existing in CS2. This skin has Industrial Grade rarity, which means it is rather common and can be seen very often in the game.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is a rather cheap skin, with its price starting from $0.55 and peaking at $8.59. It's also one of the most available skins on different markets. Popularity: 162.9K units of this skin are occupied by public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, and the souvenir skin is well-worn but still highly colored. The design of the Souvenir version, highly recognizable and Fallout-themed, is available in all interiors, which will surely please the game lovers who want to show their love for it while wielding this iconic weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. This sentiment is further reinforced by the fact that professional CS2 players such as fallen, apex, and nbk- also own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn Souvenir SG 553 has been hand-painted with a Fallout Warning finish, using multiple coats and stencil patterns. The base color of this skin is red tint, but the look of the finish will change depending on the pattern index of the skin in your inventory.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 3.62 (-2.16%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 3.79 (2.43%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 4.1 (10.81%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 3.25 (-12.16%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.