Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New)

4.8 1537 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 91
+63.19%
Last month
$ 91
+63.19%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 190
-10.11%
In a quarter
$ 211
-0.1703%
In half a year
$ 214
+1.25%
In a year
$ 330
+56.13%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
75% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
12 offers on 8 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 235
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 240
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 277
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 280
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 284
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 284
Steam
Steam
2 offers
from $ 313
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 337
Inspect skin
Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New)
Gallery
SG 553 | Hazard Pay inspecting SG 553 | Hazard Pay reloading SG 553 | Hazard Pay holding SG 553 | Hazard Pay pose-1 SG 553 | Hazard Pay pose-2 SG 553 | Hazard Pay pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 235
  • 24h price change: 12.44%
  • 7 days low: $ 144
  • 7 days high: $ 516
  • 7 days price change: 63.19%
  • 30 days low: $ 144
  • 30 days high: $ 1 847
  • 30 days price change: 63.19%
  • 90 days low: $ 144
  • 90 days high: $ 1 847
  • Year low: $ 124
  • Year high: $ 1 847
  • All time low: $ 124
  • All time high: $ 1 847
  • All time max offers: 39
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 4
  • All time sales: 14
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: 0.87
  • Volatility: 9.16%
  • Liquidity: 2.86%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 190
  • Price forecast change in a month: -10.11%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 211
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -0.1703%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 214
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 1.25%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 330
  • Price forecast change in a year: 56.13%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 173
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 173
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 246
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 72.57
41.95%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 235
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 226
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 226
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 236
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 10.41
4.61%
Result
👍 Success
November 5, 2025
Price
$ 173
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 173
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 165
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 182
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 181
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 184
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 183
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 189
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 173
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 178
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 175
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 246
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 72.57
41.95%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 235
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 226
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 226
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 167
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 236
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 10.41
4.61%
Result
👍 Success
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 82.98
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 399
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2222
3737
3030
119119
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 30
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 545
  • Movement speed: 210
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 7838
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aerial
4.7 7987
In a year 90%
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aerial
Battle-Scarred
4.7 7999
In a year 109%
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aerial
Factory New
$ 0.54
39%
From last month
415 offers on 9 markets
4.7 7933
In a year 124%
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aerial
Field-Tested
$ 0.25
47%
From last month
745 offers on 9 markets
4.7 7841
In a year 100%
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aerial
Minimal Wear
$ 0.28
47%
From last month
263 offers on 9 markets
4.7 7921
In a year 134%
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aerial
Well-Worn
4.6 2256
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
4.6 2337
In a quarter -36%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
Battle-Scarred
$ 0.09
181%
From last month
108 offers on 8 markets
4.6 2272
In a year 46%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
Factory New
$ 0.38
46%
From last month
844 offers on 9 markets
4.6 2357
In a year 34%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
Field-Tested
$ 0.12
50%
From last month
1664 offers on 9 markets
4.6 2239
In a year 39%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
Minimal Wear
$ 0.15
40%
From last month
629 offers on 8 markets
4.6 2341
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
Well-Worn
$ 0.1
43%
From last month
302 offers on 9 markets
$ 1.52
45%
From last week
362 offers on 8 markets
4.5 7233
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
4.5 7209
In a year 130%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Factory New
$ 0.07
159%
From last week
10461 offers on 9 markets
4.5 7121
In a year 269%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Field-Tested
4.5 7203
In a year 225%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Minimal Wear
4.6 2972
SG 553 | Atlas
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Atlas

Description

The Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) is a strong choice for terrorists who want a long-range, accurate, and powerful weapon, presenting a slick alternative to the AK47. With its striking design, the vibrant yellow base, and eye-catching traffic cone orange accents, this is one bold statement on the battlefield that demands attention and respect.

History

History

The SG 553 | Hazard Pay was released in CS2 on September 21st, 2021. It was a well-demanded item included in the Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, which landed simultaneously with the release of the "Operation Riptide" update. This hazard pattern and its FN quality made it an immediate collector's and competitive players' favorite, which marked the souvenir weapon skin highly valued in the game.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) for CS2 is a rare skin that can be obtained by opening one of the four containers: Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, or The 2021 Vertigo Collection. Due to its unique design and really good condition, this skin has become highly sought after by collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) is a very popular skin in-game, going for the popularity rating of 90%. Due to a large sale volume and being at an expensive range in the market, the skin has emerged to one of the highest-demanded items in CS: GO.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) is a skin from 255 other Rifle skins existing in CS2. Its rarity is classified, which means an extremely rare drop with an estimated chance of only 3.2%, further enhancing its desirability among collectors and players alike.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) for CS2 has a pretty reasonable price, which ranges from $88.00 to $2,635.37. Secondly, this popular skin is very abundant in many markets at this moment, and getting one is pretty easy. Actually, there are currently close to 3,000 units of the Hazard Pay skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay Factory New is between 0.00 and 0.48, which signifies that the skin is available in all skins. A souvenir variant for each exterior exists; therefore, many collectors and players can satisfy their needs of choice with so many available.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with over 1.4K votes on addskins.gg resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Players appreciate the high quality of this skin and consider it a desirable item for their collection.

Finish style

Finish style

Factory New Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay This Souvenir skin has a unique style, featuring a "Custom Paint Job" that can have a fully custom look, but has a very bright yellow tint as its base color. The Hazard Pay finish doesn't change, regardless of the pattern index, which gives this skin a very eye-catching look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 190 (-10.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 211 (-0.1703%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 214 (1.25%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 330 (56.13%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.48
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.