Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New)

2.8 2604 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.33
+2.69%
Last month
$ 1.33
+2.69%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 68.61
+34.87%
In a quarter
$ 67.58
+32.85%
In half a year
$ 73.71
+44.9%
In a year
$ 112
+120.0%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
70% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
32 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 50.71
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 69.83
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4 offers
from $ 72.8
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
3 offers
from $ 75.2
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
8 offers
from $ 77.51
Steam
Steam
6 offers
from $ 78.28
White.Market
White.Market
4 offers
from $ 81.27
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 87.95
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 90
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 123
Inspect skin
Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New)
Gallery
Tec-9 | Toxic inspecting Tec-9 | Toxic reloading Tec-9 | Toxic holding Tec-9 | Toxic pose-1 Tec-9 | Toxic pose-2 Tec-9 | Toxic pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 50.71
  • 7 days low: $ 49.38
  • 7 days high: $ 157
  • 7 days price change: 2.69%
  • 30 days low: $ 49.38
  • 30 days high: $ 616
  • 30 days price change: 2.69%
  • 90 days low: $ 49.38
  • 90 days high: $ 616
  • Year low: $ 45.69
  • Year high: $ 8 084
  • All time low: $ 42.81
  • All time high: $ 8 084
  • All time max offers: 52
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 8
  • Sales for last 90 days: 19
  • All time sales: 53
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: 1.84
  • Volatility: 7.08%
  • Liquidity: 6.26%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 68.61
  • Price forecast change in a month: 34.87%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 67.58
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 32.85%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 73.71
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 44.9%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 112
  • Price forecast change in a year: 120.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 57.65
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 65
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 65
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 74.55
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 9.55
14.69%
Result
👍 Success
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 65.56
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 65.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 65.43
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 57.65
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 67.52
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 65
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 65
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 66.19
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 66.55
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 57.11
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 74.55
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 9.55
14.69%
Result
👍 Success
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 65.56
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 65.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 65.43
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 69.67
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 70.07
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 70.43
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 68.23
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 73.59
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 49.38
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 76.29
Action
🔥 Buy
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 9.55
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 130
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
70%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2320
3834
3027
120109
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 18/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 2.0
  • Rate of fire: 500
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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From last month
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Tec-9 | Brass
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Minimal Wear
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From last month
10 offers on 3 markets

Description

The Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New) is a fearsome sidearm for the mobile Terrorist, packing a lethal close-quarters punch and a generous magazine capacity. Its gaudy hydrographic pattern featuring nuclear skulls and bones adds a touch of malice to an already fearsome presence.

History

History

Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic entered the CS2 universe on August 13th, 2014. This skin came out in the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package. Released on the day of the "ESL One Cologne 2014" update, this factory new condition skin has a highly wanted status among players, thanks to its toxic theme.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New) skin can be obtained by opening any of the 12 cases containing this skin, which includes Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package. Additionally, this skin is part of The Cache Collection, which adds to its rarity and desirability among CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New) is a highly popular skin, which holds a position in the top 15% of the most popular items in CS2, with an impressive popularity score of 85%. This is measured by the volume of skin sales per day and its price, which reflects the strong demand and value players place on this particular item.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New) is one of 347 other pistol skins in CS2. This skin is classified as Mil-Spec Grade, which suggests that it is relatively common and has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, making it quite a common skin in the game.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New) skin offers a budget-friendly option for CS2 players, with prices ranging from $2.43 to $38.55. This popular skin is easily accessible as it is widely available on various markets, making it convenient for players to add to their collections. Additionally, with a staggering 89K units currently in public CS2 inventories, acquiring the Tec-9 | Toxic is relatively hassle-free.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic exists in all exteriors and has float values from 0.00 to 0.70. Each exterior also has its corresponding Souvenir version, allowing collectors to obtain the Toxic skin in various conditions.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic in CS2 is mixed, with an average rating of 2.8 out of 5 stars, based on over 2.6K votes on addskins.gg. However, its popularity among professional players such as s1mple, taco, and kioshima shows that it still holds some value and appeal within the competitive scene.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic has a Hydrographic style finish, where the weapon parts are immersed in a water tank covered with a floating film that adheres to the primed surface. The dominant color of this skin is brown tint, and the overall appearance of the Toxic finish may vary depending on its pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 68.61 (34.87%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 67.58 (32.85%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 73.71 (44.9%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 112 (120.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.