Souvenir UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear)

4.6 4082 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 20.29
+31.56%
Last month
$ 29.94
+54.8%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 60.83
-28.56%
In a quarter
$ 56.67
-33.45%
In half a year
$ 64.64
-24.09%
In a year
$ 124
+45.62%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
69% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
19 offers on 6 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
7 offers
from $ 84.58
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 148
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 149
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 152
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 153
Steam
Steam
6 offers
from $ 184
Inspect skin
Souvenir UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Blaze inspecting UMP-45 | Blaze reloading UMP-45 | Blaze holding UMP-45 | Blaze pose-1 UMP-45 | Blaze pose-2 UMP-45 | Blaze pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 84.58
  • 7 days low: $ 64.29
  • 7 days high: $ 196
  • 7 days price change: 31.56%
  • 30 days low: $ 54.64
  • 30 days high: $ 409
  • 30 days price change: 54.8%
  • 90 days low: $ 41.58
  • 90 days high: $ 429
  • Year low: $ 24.71
  • Year high: $ 7 080
  • All time low: $ 24.71
  • All time high: $ 7 080
  • All time max offers: 24
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3
  • Sales for last 90 days: 31
  • All time sales: 62
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 3.6
  • Volatility: 9.25%
  • Liquidity: 4.06%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 60.83
  • Price forecast change in a month: -28.56%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 56.67
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -33.45%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 64.64
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -24.09%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 124
  • Price forecast change in a year: 45.62%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 46.04
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 46.04
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 68.62
Action
✋ Hold
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 70
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 23.96
52.04%
Result
👍 Success
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 56.81
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 56.81
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 46.04
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 46.04
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 45.52
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 45.32
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 44.55
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 45.05
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 45.29
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 45.39
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 52
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 68.62
Action
✋ Hold
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 70
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 23.96
52.04%
Result
👍 Success
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 56.81
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 56.81
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 58.93
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 65.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 55.41
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 79.9
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 64.32
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 23.96
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 103
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
69%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
Mil-Spec Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Blaze
Factory New
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1630 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
60%
From last month
345 offers on 5 markets
4.8 561114
In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
313 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
81 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
28 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.15
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear) is a very versatile submachine gun, great in close combat, but suffering from a small magazine capacity. This is a truly collectible skin, with an amazing design: the model is painted with transparent paints airbrushed over a sleek chrome base coat.

History

History

Souvenir UMP-45 | Blaze debuted on November 27th, 2013, when it was introduced into CS2 as a stunningly designed fiery skin, sleek in all ways. The highly sought-for skin could be obtained by opening Berlin 2019 Mirage Souvenir Package, released with the "Out with the old, in with the new" update that added some flair to the game.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear) is a Rare skin that can be obtained through opening certain containers such as Atlanta 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Mirage Souvenir Package, and Boston 2018 Mirage Souvenir Package. It is also part of the Mirage Collection, thus a very popular item to the CS2 enthusiasts.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear) is considered one of the most wanted items within the CS2 community, with a popularity assessment rating of 90%. The fact that it holds a really high sales volume and is kept at an increased market price only confirms the fact that it is highly desired among the in-game items.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. However, this skin's rarity is Mil-Spec Grade, which suggests it is a relatively common drop with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear) skin is relatively inexpensive, falling within the range of $18.84-$33.70. It's highly available because it can be found on multiple markets, which means that it can be easily purchased. Besides, there are 49.6K units of this skin available in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear) in CS2 features a float value of 0.00 - 0.08 which allows players to get the skin in Factory New and Minimal Wear conditions. Besides, for each exterior option, a player can get a Souvenir version of Blaze.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the Souvenir UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with a rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars based on over 3.9K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further reinforced by its ownership among renowned professional players such as coldzera, flusha, and device.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Blaze Minimal Wear from CS2 has a "Anodized Airbrushed" style and is painted in a brilliant Blaze finish. The skin has an expertly applied candy coat in orange to yellow hues, while its pattern index influences the appearance of its Blaze finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 60.83 (-28.56%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 56.67 (-33.45%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 64.64 (-24.09%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 124 (45.62%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.