Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Battle-Scarred)

4.8 1297 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.071
+18.5%
In a quarter
$ 0.088
+46.67%
In half a year
$ 0.118
+97.33%
In a year
$ 0.187
+211.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
26% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
441 offers on 6 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Facility Dark inspecting UMP-45 | Facility Dark reloading UMP-45 | Facility Dark holding UMP-45 | Facility Dark pose-1 UMP-45 | Facility Dark pose-2 UMP-45 | Facility Dark pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.06
  • 7 days low: $ 0.06
  • 7 days high: $ 100
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.06
  • 30 days high: $ 100
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.06
  • 90 days high: $ 100
  • Year low: $ 0.02
  • Year high: $ 100
  • All time low: $ 0.02
  • All time high: $ 100
  • All time max offers: 467
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 67
  • Sales for last 30 days: 238
  • Sales for last 90 days: 624
  • All time sales: 1784
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 3.13
  • Volatility: 30.41%
  • Liquidity: 7.54%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.071
  • Price forecast change in a month: 18.5%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.088
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 46.67%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.118
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 97.33%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.187
  • Price forecast change in a year: 211.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.088
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.088
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.066
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.022
-25.00%
Result
👎 Fail
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.11
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.088
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.088
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.066
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.022
-25.00%
Result
👎 Fail
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.11
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.1
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.022
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.198
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
26%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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UMP-45 | Fade
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UMP-45 | Fade
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Minimal Wear
$ 80.65
46%
From last week
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
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$ 55.14
42%
From last week
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4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
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$ 0.97
43%
From last month
41 offers on 4 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Battle-Scarred) offers a realistic SMG option with limited magazine capacity, perfectly designed for close quarters. Its bright blue hydrographic pattern gives the weapon a really cool appearance, which resembles some kind of nuclear power plant facility, thereby placing an opponent in the dark as if all the lights are off.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Facility Dark appeared for the first time in the CS2 community on September 3rd, 2018, as a highly anticipated addition to the Paris 2023 Nuke Souvenir Package. This sleek and menacing submachine gun quickly became a favorite among players, thanks to its unique darkened design and battle-scarred appearance, which added a touch of gritty realism to the game.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Battle-Scarred) can be obtained by opening one of the seven containers that have this skin, which include the Antwerp 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package. It is also part of The 2018 Nuke Collection, which further makes it a rare and exclusive souvenir.

Popularity

Popularity

Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Battle-Scarred) has a prominent position in the CS2 community because of its 75% popularity rating. This skin is in the top 25 percent of the most popular items on the Community Market in terms of sales volume and price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Battle-Scarred) is one of the 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. At a Consumer Grade rarity, this particular skin is rather common and frequently seen during gameplay.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Battle-Scarred) is one of the cheapest skins, since it costs from $0.01 to $0.06 depending on the market and availability. Moreover, this skin is very easy to get since it is available in many markets and there are about 4.4 million units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

A noticeable number of scratches and abrasions adorn the body, transforming Battle-Scarred Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark skin into a worn-out yet elegant look. The wear on this skin ranges between 0.00 and 0.50 float value-a way that players can get Souvenir versions in any possible outside condition.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is very positive, with an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars based on over 1.2K votes on addskins.gg. This sentiment is further reinforced by ownership from renowned professional players including fnx, dupreeh, and flamie.

Finish style

Finish style

The Facility Dark finish on this Battle-Scarred Souvenir UMP-45 shows a disassembled motif of the parts that make up a weapon; the hydrographic film gives an effect like floating in a water tank. Its gray shade predominates and provides a realistic and worn look, adding uniqueness to its pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 0.071 (18.5%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.088 (46.67%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.118 (97.33%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.187 (211.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.47
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players