Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)

4.8 1387 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.005
+8.33%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.061
-6.0%
In a quarter
$ 0.055
-14.77%
In half a year
$ 0.07
+8.31%
In a year
$ 0.137
+111.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
64% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
893 offers on 9 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Facility Dark inspecting UMP-45 | Facility Dark reloading UMP-45 | Facility Dark holding UMP-45 | Facility Dark pose-1 UMP-45 | Facility Dark pose-2 UMP-45 | Facility Dark pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.065
  • 7 days low: $ 0.065
  • 7 days high: $ 140
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.06
  • 30 days high: $ 140
  • 30 days price change: 8.33%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.03
  • 90 days high: $ 140
  • Year low: $ 0.02
  • Year high: $ 140
  • All time low: $ 0.02
  • All time high: $ 947
  • All time max offers: 1199
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 73
  • Sales for last 7 days: 321
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1703
  • Sales for last 90 days: 4178
  • All time sales: 12415
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 3.48
  • Volatility: 12.03%
  • Liquidity: 11.88%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.061
  • Price forecast change in a month: -6.0%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.055
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -14.77%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.07
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 8.31%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.137
  • Price forecast change in a year: 111.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.036
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.036
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.024
66.67%
Result
👍 Success
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.06
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.036
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.036
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.024
66.67%
Result
👍 Success
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.06
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.065
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.065
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.065
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.065
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.024
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.096
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
64%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
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$ 84.52
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From last month
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In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
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Souvenir
UMP-45
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$ 52.74
128%
From last month
329 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
90 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
24 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.14
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 is versatile, shining most when it's used in close quarters, though a bit hampered by its limited magazine capacity. Facility Dark has a dark, eerie hydrographic pattern that resembles a nuclear power plant; this adds a little more stealth, like the lights have been cut and the operator is ready to strike.

History

History

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark appeared for the first time in the CS2 community on September 3rd, 2018, included in the Paris 2023 Nuke Souvenir Package. This slick and dangerous submachine gun immediately became one of the highly desired skins because it had a Factory New condition and an uncommon design that attracted players with its dark and mysterious mood.

Origin

Origin

This highly exotic The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark can be gotten from opening any one of the seven containers in Antwerp 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package. It belongs to The 2018 Nuke Collection; therefore, this skin has loads of attention among collectors in CS2.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) enjoys a high level of popularity, ranking in the top 25% of the most sought-after items in CS2. This assessment is derived from its strong daily sales volume and its relatively high price, indicating a significant demand among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. However, its rarity is Consumer Grade, which means this is a pretty common skin that can be found very often in the game.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) is a pretty cheap skin since it costs within a range of $0.01-$0.06, which is quite affordable for most players. This skin is very easy to get since it's available in many markets, and at any time, a player can buy it without much hustle. In addition, there are about 4.4 million units of Facility Dark available in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, meaning that the skin can pull in every possible exterior. There is also a Souvenir version of the skin available for each of its exteriors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) in CS2 is extremely positive, with an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars based on over 1.2K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further solidified by its ownership among renowned professional players such as fnx, dupreeh, and flamie.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index of this Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) makes a great impact on the coloration of the skin, with it being mostly gray. Disassembled parts of the weapon are dipped into a water tank with a floating hydrographic film, which wraps around primed surfaces to make for an interesting pattern.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.061 (-6.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.055 (-14.77%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.07 (8.31%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.137 (111.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players