Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Well-Worn)

4.8 1329 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.01
+33.33%
Last month
$ 0.015
+60%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.033
-17.75%
In a quarter
$ 0.033
-16.5%
In half a year
$ 0.038
-3.75%
In a year
$ 0.092
+131.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
345 offers on 5 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Well-Worn)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Facility Dark inspecting UMP-45 | Facility Dark reloading UMP-45 | Facility Dark holding UMP-45 | Facility Dark pose-1 UMP-45 | Facility Dark pose-2 UMP-45 | Facility Dark pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.04
  • 7 days low: $ 0.03
  • 7 days high: $ 110
  • 7 days price change: 33.33%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.025
  • 30 days high: $ 110
  • 30 days price change: 60%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.025
  • 90 days high: $ 110
  • Year low: $ 0.01
  • Year high: $ 110
  • All time low: $ 0.01
  • All time high: $ 110
  • All time max offers: 347
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 18
  • Sales for last 7 days: 96
  • Sales for last 30 days: 318
  • Sales for last 90 days: 800
  • All time sales: 2190
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 4.97
  • Volatility: 19.35%
  • Liquidity: 9.51%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.033
  • Price forecast change in a month: -17.75%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.033
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -16.5%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.038
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -3.75%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.092
  • Price forecast change in a year: 131.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.05
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.05
August 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.05
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.05
August 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
September 7, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
September 15, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
September 23, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.05
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
Mil-Spec Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Blaze
Factory New
$ 84.58
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1630 offers on 5 markets
4.8 561114
In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
313 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
81 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
28 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.15
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45, while not as popular among SMGs, is actually a pretty decent close-quarters gun despite its low magazine capacity. Facility Dark skin, with its blue hydrographic pattern, gives it a striking resemblance to a nuclear power plant, adding a touch of danger to its appearance, as if daring the enemy to challenge its power.

History

History

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark dropped in the world of CS2 on September 3rd, 2018, simultaneously with the highly anticipated Paris 2023 Nuke Souvenir Package. This sleek, deadly beauty became an immediate favorite among players, boasting an already well-worn appearance adding a touch of ruggedness to its already formidable presence on the battlefield.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Well-Worn) is a skin that can be obtained through opening any of the 7 containers housing it, namely the Antwerp 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package. Moreover, this skin also forms part of The 2018 Nuke Collection, adding to its exclusivity and, therefore, demand.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Well-Worn) is highly popular and currently rated at 75%. For that reason, it falls into the top 25% of the most popular items in CS2, considering its sales volume and price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Well-Worn) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. The quality of this version of Facility Dark is Consumer Grade, meaning it is relatively common and can be seen often.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Well-Worn) is an affordable skin that ranges from $0.01 to $0.06, which is easily available due to the fact that it is marketable and there is a huge supply of 4.4 million units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

In CS2, the Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Well-Worn) has a float value ranging from 0.00 to 0.50, allowing players to get this skin in any exterior condition. Besides, for every option of exterior, there's a Souvenir variant for collectors to showcase their favorite version of this skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Well-Worn) for CS2 is very highly regarded in the community, boasting an average rating of 4.8 / 5 stars with over 1.2K votes on addskins.gg. It's popular among well-known professional players such as fnx, dupreeh, and flamie.

Finish style

Finish style

The Facility Dark finish on this well-worn Souvenir UMP-45 features a hydrographic style where disassembled weapon parts are immersed in a water tank with a floating film, resulting in a patterned gray appearance. The intensity of the pattern varies based on the pattern index, adding a unique touch to this realistic and worn skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.033 (-17.75%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.033 (-16.5%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.038 (-3.75%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.092 (131.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players