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5 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade dropped into CS2 on September 21st, 2021, with an outstanding fade pattern and factory new condition, which blew the minds of players. It is one of the iconic skins that only could be obtained by a Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package drop, in-game, accompanying a highly awaited "Operation Riptide" update that introduced players to a completely new gaming experience.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) is a rare and highly sought-after skin that can be obtained by opening Antwerp 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, or Stockholm 2021 Dust II Souvenir Package containers. It is also an exclusive part of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection, adding to its desirability among CS2 players.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade Factory New boasts relatively low popularity at 35% in the community of CS2 gamers, since it is not very sought after by the players. It falls under such judgment based on its day-to-day sale volume as well as the market price.
The UMP-45 | Fade Factory New is a pretty rare skin, being classified and has a drop chance of merely 3.2 per cent and is one of the 237 other SMG skins that exist in CS2.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) is a desirable skin with a price range between $70.73 and $721.26, making it relatively affordable for CS2 players. Thankfully, this skin is currently widely available on various markets, and there are approximately 14.1K units of the Fade in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade lies between 0.00 and 0.08, enabling players to have Factory New and Minimal Wear variants of this skin. There is also a Souvenir version for each exterior condition of the Fade, which enables collectors to have different versions to add to their inventory.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) for CS2 is very popular among the community, having over 561 votes on addskins.gg and a remarkable average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. It is also in demand among professional CS2 players, which can be confirmed by the fact that juanflatroo, cerq, and xfl0ud have it in their inventory.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) has a brilliant "Anodized Airbrushed" style applied through the freehand airbrushing of candy coat. This makes the pattern index for the Fade finish very appealing because it forms a gradient-like fashion that adds to the appearance of the weapon.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 38.59 (-21.1%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 27.13 (-44.53%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 23.73 (-51.48%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 41.73 (-14.68%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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