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25 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade was first spotted in the world of CS2 on September 21st, 2021. This skin had come right with the long-awaited package of Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir. Along with this skin was another highly awaited update generally known as "Operation Riptide." The appealing fade pattern mixed with elegance is what set players at a spell with it.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Minimal Wear) was first dropped as a rare item from the Antwerp 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, and Stockholm 2021 Dust II Souvenir Package containers. It is also part of the exclusive 2021 Dust 2 Collection, giving this striking skin a smidgeon of class.
The UMP-45 | Fade is not one of the top skins in CS2, holding a relatively middle ranking of 35%. That's based on a few important features, including volume sales in a day, alongside market price.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Minimal Wear) is one of 237 available SMG skins in CS2. Because of its rarity, it falls under a rare drop. With only an estimated 3.2% drop chance, this skin is very wanted and searched for by all CS2 players.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Minimal Wear) for CS2 is a moderately expensive skin, with the price oscillating between $70.73 and $721.26. Fortunately, though, it's relatively easy to get since it's listed on many markets. Second, there are 14.1K units of this very skin circulating in public inventories of CS2.
The float value of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade ranges from 0.00 to 0.08, which allows players to get Factory New and Minimal Wear versions of the skin. There is also a Souvenir variant for each exterior quality of the Fade.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Minimal Wear) has received very good community support, receiving more than 561 votes on addskins.gg with an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. This skin is one of the most wanted in CS2 and also among professional players like juanflatroo, cerq, and xfl0ud.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Minimal Wear) features a "Anodized Airbrushed" finish style, replicating the careful art of applying a candy coat by freehand airbrushing. The overall appearance of the Fade finish is altered by its pattern index to create an incredibly mesmerizing gradient that flows between shades of color with incredible transitions.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 57.72 (-15.12%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 50.07 (-26.37%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 46.28 (-31.94%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 64.95 (-4.49%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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