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5 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
Overlooked by many, this makes the UMP-45's only weakness be the limited magazine capacity because, for close-quarters combat, adaptability with it is unrivaled. The battle-scarred appearance is heightened in the radiological warning hazard pattern that was spray-painted over it, adding an essence of danger to an already lethal presence.
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning was the first to be presented on August 14th, 2013, to the CS2 community as part of the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package. It was released together with "The Arms Deal" update and added a nice skin option for players to collect and use in the game.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) is a very rare skin, present only when a player opens any one of the eight containers that carry this particular skin. Among others, this skin may come in the Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. This is also included in The Nuke Collection.
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) is in high demand, as seen by its popularity rating of 75% among CS2 players. This makes it stand in the top 25% of the most wanted items within the game, which is calculated by the daily sales volume and the market price.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) is one of 237 other SMG skins available in CS2. However, its rarity is classified as Industrial Grade, indicating that while not the most common, it is still a relatively frequent find within the game.
Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) has a quite democratic price of $2.88-$96.85, which is affordable for almost every player. Moreover, this skin is in free sale on different markets, so buyers interested in it can easily get the skin. It is also popular: there are already 19.4K units of the Fallout Warning skin in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, which means that the skin has a chance to be dropped with any possible wear. It is also available in all exterior variations as a souvenir version of the Fallout Warning skin.
The community sentiment regarding the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive; this is a fact because it has been rated an impressive 4.4 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg with over 2.2K votes. It also gained popularity among professional players like taco, spunj, and pimp, who have been spotted proudly owning this skin.
This Battle-Scarred Souvenir UMP-45 has a "Spray-Paint" style and a Fallout Warning finish. It has multiple layers of spray paint applied through stencil patterns. This gives it a red-tinted primary color, regardless of the pattern index.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 3.53 (-1.94%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 3.42 (-5.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 3.56 (-1.11%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 7.1 (97.22%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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