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9 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) provides a multi-purpose and reliable close automatic weapon, only at the cost of a small magazine capacity. Its radiological warning hazard patterns spray-painted on the gun add a unique and intimidating aesthetic.
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning appeared for the first time in CS2 on August 14th, 2013, when it was released as part of the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package. This bright skin was an instant hit among players for its design, which had taken inspiration from the fallout warning signs, and remains highly desirable in the CS2 community to this date.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) can be obtained by unboxing it from one of the 8 cases that contain the skin, among which are Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. It is also included as part of The Nuke Collection.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) is one of the most popular skins within CS2, holding a popularity rating of 75%. This skin is one of the rarest, ranking in the top 25% of all items in the game based on its daily sales volume and market price.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) is one of 237 other SMG skins available in CS2. Being Industrial Grade, it is rather common and thus a very frequently encountered sight in the game.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) is a relatively cheap skin, with a price range of $2.88-$96.85. It's a very widely available skin, and it can be purchased on many different markets. There are currently 19.4K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) is available in all of its exteriors in CS2, with float values ranging from 0.06 to 0.80, which will ensure a variety of wear for collectors. Moreover, for each of the exterior options, there is a Souvenir version of the Fallout Warning skin, adding an extra layer of rarity and exclusivity to this highly sought-after skin.
The community sentiment towards the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) in CS2 is very positive, with an impressive rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, based on over 2.2K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity among professional players like taco, spunj, and pimp further cements its desirability within the community.
This Field-Tested Souvenir UMP-45 has a Spray-Paint style, customised with a Fallout Warning Finish. The gun has received a very careful application of stencil patterns that form a dramatic red-tinted primary color. The Fallout Warning finish style does not alter and is the same regardless of the pattern index.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 3.16 (-16.4%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 3.1 (-17.99%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 3.09 (-18.25%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 6.28 (66.14%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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