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22 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The often-overlooked UMP-45 proves its worth in close-quarter combat with its reliable automatic fire, only hindered by its limited magazine capacity. Its exterior is adorned with spray-painted radiological warning hazard patterns, serving as a grim reminder of the post-apocalyptic world it was born into.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning, looking well-worn, appeared in the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on August 14th, 2013. It was added as part of the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package and was a part of the "The Arms Deal" update, giving the game a post-apocalyptic twist.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is a rare skin and can be obtained by opening one of the 8 containers that house it, like Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package, and so on. Additionally, it is part of the collection The Nuke Collection, further adding to the exclusivity and value of the skin.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is popular, holding a popularity of 75%. This makes it well within the top quartile of the most desired skins in CS2. This rating is presented by a combination of its relatively high volume of sales every day, with its consistently high market price.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. This skin is Industrial Grade, which is fairly common and comes up frequently in the game for players.
Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) would be the cheapest option, priced between $2.88-$96.85, for players. This skin is highly available and can be widely found on many markets, which explains its high popularity among collectors. Currently, the public inventories of CS2 hold about 19.4K units of this Fallout Warning skin, showing how common this skin actually is.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is between 0.06 and 0.80 float value; hence, it will be available in all of the fields. In addition to this, each field of this particular skin has a Souvenir variant, enabling the collectors to get well-worn souvenir skin with multiple conditions.
The community sentiment regarding Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) in CS2 is generally positive; it has attained an average rating of 4.4 out of 5-star reviews with over 2.2K votes recorded on addskins.gg. Additionally, its popularity can be further validated by ownership of this skin by such popular professional CS2 players as taco, spunj, and pimp.
This worn-out Souvenir UMP-45 has a "Spray-Paint" style and features the Fallout Warning finish. The stencil pattern, which has been carefully painted, produces a red-tinted primary color that remains consistent with many pattern indexes, thus looking striking and unchanging.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 4.73 (-4.44%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 4.9 (-1.01%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 5.85 (18.18%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 10.66 (115.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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