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10 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The often-underrated UMP-45 proves to be one of the more consistent choices at close range, whose only failing is a meager magazine capacity. With an appealingly mind-bending hydrographic gel pen doodle covering this deadly creation, the Souvenir UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) takes it into artful overdrive.
The UMP-45 | Gunsmoke first appeared in competitive CS2 on November 27th, 2013, as part of the highly expected EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package. That update brought in a sea change for the game with the sleek and classy feel that it brought.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) entered CS2 with its containers from the DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package and EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package. Therefore, it was particularly rare and desirable for the collections. Also, this weapon is a part of the large The Italy Collection, making this gun more expensive and highly required.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) is one of the highly demanded skins, with a popularity rating of 85%, ranking it among the top 15% of the most desired skins in CS2. This assessment takes into consideration its daily sales volume and the skin's market price, reflecting its desirability among players.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. The skin belongs to the Industrial Grade rarity and is considered relatively easy to get, so this version is not very rare in this game.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) skin for CS2 has a rather affordable price, which is between $0.04-$34.67, thus fitting almost any budget. This skin is very popular, as it is available in large amounts and can be found in many markets. Moreover, 1.9 million units of the Gunsmoke skin have been tracked to be in public CS2 inventories.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) exists in all exterior options in CS2. Its float values range from 0.06 to 0.80. Each of its exterior options has a Gunsmoke skin that's also available as a Souvenir version.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) for CS2 has garnered significant community support with over 6K votes on addskins.gg, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further validated by its ownership among esteemed professional CS2 players such as aizy, rubino, and adren.
This Minimal Wear Souvenir UMP-45 | Gunsmoke features a hydrographic pattern, which is a style of painting where the parts of the weapon are dipped into a water tank, allowing the floating film to stick and create a patterned finish. The Gunsmoke pattern index adds variation and uniqueness to the overall gray shade of the skin.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 133 (-41.14%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 109 (-51.76%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 107 (-52.65%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 382 (69.05%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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