Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Factory New)

4.9 10159 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.01
+0.0363%
Last month
$ 3.57
+14.88%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 34.92
+26.66%
In a quarter
$ 38.23
+38.67%
In half a year
$ 29.43
+6.75%
In a year
$ 52.01
+88.65%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
86% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
15 offers on 5 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
9 offers
from $ 27.57
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 40.96
Skinport
Skinport
3 offers
from $ 40.98
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 59.74
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 61.38
Inspect skin
Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Indigo inspecting UMP-45 | Indigo reloading UMP-45 | Indigo holding UMP-45 | Indigo pose-1 UMP-45 | Indigo pose-2 UMP-45 | Indigo pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 27.57
  • 24h price change: 0.0363%
  • 7 days low: $ 27.56
  • 7 days high: $ 61.46
  • 7 days price change: 0.0363%
  • 30 days low: $ 24
  • 30 days high: $ 62.03
  • 30 days price change: 14.88%
  • 90 days low: $ 24
  • 90 days high: $ 127
  • Year low: $ 20.44
  • Year high: $ 180
  • All time low: $ 20.44
  • All time high: $ 207
  • All time max offers: 18
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3
  • Sales for last 30 days: 6
  • Sales for last 90 days: 14
  • All time sales: 35
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.0486
  • Volatility: 18.22%
  • Liquidity: 3.81%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 34.92
  • Price forecast change in a month: 26.66%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 38.23
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 38.67%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 29.43
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 6.75%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 52.01
  • Price forecast change in a year: 88.65%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 29.51
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 29.51
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 41
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 11.49
38.95%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 34.55
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 24
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 40.87
Action
✋ Hold
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 29.51
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 29.51
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 30.05
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 28.91
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 30.84
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 28.97
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 28.52
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 28.19
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 28.15
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 27
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 27.23
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 35.88
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 30.37
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 24.59
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 41
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 11.49
38.95%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 34.55
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 24
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 40.87
Action
✋ Hold
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 11.49
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 53.51
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
86%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
Mil-Spec Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Blaze
Factory New
$ 84.52
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1620 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
60%
From last month
345 offers on 5 markets
4.8 561114
In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.74
128%
From last month
329 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
90 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
24 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.14
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

Indigo The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo is a versatile, dependable choice in close quarters with its only drawback being the size of its magazine capacity. With its solid indigo, blue, and grey paint job, this gun has that added flair to make it one of the most desired souvenirs among collectors and players alike.

History

History

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo was introduced on July 1st, 2014, and became one of the most expected features in CS2 within Boston 2018 Cobblestone Souvenir Package. This submachine gun made an elegant addition to collector and player inventories while possessing a Factory New finish showcasing the stunning indigo coloration.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Factory New) is one of the most popular skins in CS2. It can be obtained by opening any of the ten containers featuring this exact skin, which includes Atlanta 2017 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package. This skin is also part of The Cobblestone Collection, which makes it even more desirable to collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Factory New) is one of the most popular skins in CS2, with a popularity of 75%. This places it in the upper echelon of the game's most coveted items, as determined by its consistent high sales volume and its relatively higher price compared to other skins.

Rarity

Rarity

Indigo- The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Factory New) boasts 237 other SMG skins in CS2, yet this skin is Consumer Grade, meaning it's more on the common side and will quite regularly pop up in a normal play.

Availability

Availability

Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Factory New) is an inexpensive skin type, which starts from the price of $0.46 and reaches $24.00. It is easily accessible on many markets now. This skin has been widely available in public CS2 inventories: currently, there are 323.9K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

One of the most desired skins in CS2 is the Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Factory New), since this skin has a float value that ranges between 0.06 and 0.80, meaning it has all exterior versions. The Indigo skin also features a souvenir version for every available exterior; thus, finding one can be a major addition to any inventory.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Factory New) has an outstanding community score, as more than 10,000 votes on addskins.gg gave it a superb average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. This skin's popularity is further amplified by its ownership among renowned professional CS2 players flusha and fallen, thus it is a highly coveted thing in the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Factory New) has a "Solid Color" style and uses a bright blue tint. Painting the gun in such a pattern involves coating each part with up to four different colors, creating a mesmerizing effect that does not alter with various pattern indexes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 34.92 (26.66%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 38.23 (38.67%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 29.43 (6.75%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 52.01 (88.65%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.