Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Well-Worn)

4.9 10112 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.01
+0.68%
Last month
$ 0.4
+36.7%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.63
+9.4%
In a quarter
$ 1.55
+4.03%
In half a year
$ 1.55
+4.03%
In a year
$ 2.89
+93.96%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
72% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
70 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Well-Worn)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Indigo inspecting UMP-45 | Indigo reloading UMP-45 | Indigo holding UMP-45 | Indigo pose-1 UMP-45 | Indigo pose-2 UMP-45 | Indigo pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.49
  • 24h price change: 0.68%
  • 7 days low: $ 1.48
  • 7 days high: $ 27.48
  • 7 days price change: 0.68%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.09
  • 30 days high: $ 27.48
  • 30 days price change: 36.7%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.91
  • 90 days high: $ 27.48
  • Year low: $ 0.74
  • Year high: $ 50
  • All time low: $ 0.59
  • All time high: $ 50
  • All time max offers: 101
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 17
  • Sales for last 30 days: 84
  • Sales for last 90 days: 192
  • All time sales: 550
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.58
  • Volatility: 18.71%
  • Liquidity: 9.74%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.63
  • Price forecast change in a month: 9.4%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.55
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 4.03%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1.55
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 4.03%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2.89
  • Price forecast change in a year: 93.96%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.99
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.29
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.3
30.30%
Result
👍 Success
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.05
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.99
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.01
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.88
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.29
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.3
30.30%
Result
👍 Success
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.05
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.91
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.43
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.61
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.49
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.15
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.65
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.86
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.58
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 2.35
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.3
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2.04
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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From last week
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
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$ 55.14
42%
From last week
19 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
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From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

A consistent Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Well-Worn) is a relatively mid-range SMG with marginally restricted ammo capacity; it's perfect for frequent and heavy close combat action. The solid indigo, blue, and gray paint job gives this battlefield-approved weapon a touch of nobility; one more, leaving you ready to tear the battlefield apart.

History

History

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo was introduced to the world of CS2 on July 1st, 2014, during the release of the Boston 2018 Cobblestone Souvenir Package. This popular submachine gun became an instant hit among players, offering a well-worn aesthetic that showcased its battle-hardened history.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Well-Worn) skin in CS2 can be obtained by opening one of the ten cases that contain the skin: Atlanta 2017 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, and others. It is also included in The Cobblestone Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Well-Worn) boasts a popularity of 75% within the CS2 community, ranking it among the top 25% of the most popular items. This high demand is determined by its consistently high daily sales volume and the skin's market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Well-Worn) is one in a series of 237 various SMG skins, falling into the rather common rarity within CS2. Being of Consumer Grade rareness, the Indigo skin is not that seldom seen during gameplay.

Availability

Availability

Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Well-Worn) skin in CS2 can be purchased within the range of $0.46-$24.00. This skin is considered widely available because it can be purchased via multiple markets, and also this skin has a rather high popularity among players due to its presence in 323.9K CS2 public inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Well-Worn) is a very versatile skin in CS2, having float values that range from 0.06 to 0.80, thus being available in all possible exterior conditions. Moreover, players can find a Souvenir version of the Indigo skin in every exterior, which will provide them with many options to be taken into consideration either by collectors or enthusiasts.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Well-Worn) has received a tremendous amount of support from the community, with over 10,000 votes on addskins.gg, earning it a remarkable average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Furthermore, this skin is owned by two of the most recognized professional CS2 players to date, flusha and fallen.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn Souvenir UMP-45 features a "Solid Color" style with an Indigo finish. The weapon's individual parts have been painted with up to four different colors before being reassembled, giving the weapon a blue tint. The Indigo skin does not display any variation in the pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Indigo (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 1.63 (9.4%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1.55 (4.03%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 1.55 (4.03%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.89 (93.96%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.