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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 is often underrated but finds itself a good companion in close combat, its only drawback being the small capacity of the magazine. The battle-worn look shows an anodized pattern that resembles worn-out engine parts, adding to the rugged charm of functionality.
The UMP-45 | Mechanism first landed in the CS2 virtual fields on September 21st, 2021, a year ago. This highly desired skin was released as a highly valued part of the Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, an exciting addition to coincide with the highly expected release of the "Operation Riptide" update.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) is a rare skin that belongs to the lists of several container openings for big tournaments in CS2, such as Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, and Rio 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package. It is also part of The 2021 Vertigo Collection, which makes it highly relevant to collectors and enthusiasts.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) boasts an extremely high popularity among CS2 players at 75%, which positions it in the top 25% of the most popular items within the game. This evaluation is the result of combining its daily sales volume and market price, therefore, this battle-scarred skin is in very high demand.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) is a skin from 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. This skin has an Industrial Grade rarity, hence it's relatively common to find this skin in the game, which makes it less wanted than higher tier skins.
The float value of the UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.49, which means this skin is available in all wearable conditions. There is also a corresponding Souvenir version available for each exterior variation of the Mechanism skin.
The community attitude toward Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, as attested to by its average grade of 4.4 out of 5 stars based on more than 1.6K votes on addskins.gg. This popularity is further demonstrated by its ownership by some renowned professional players like flusha and el1an.
This UMP-45 | Mechanism skin from CS2 sports a realistic style, which is an "Anodized Airbrushed" look, where application of candy coat is mimicked in actual hand airbrushing. For the most part, shades of gray make up the colors comprising the Mechanism finish. The pattern index of this skin helps to determine what the overall look will be.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 0.242 (5.35%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.67 (191.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.345 (50.17%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.6 (161.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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