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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) stands as the underappreciated sibling within the SMG arsenal, with its limited magazine capacity being its sole drawback amidst its adaptability for close-quarters combat. However, its anodized pattern, resembling intricate engine components, adds a unique touch that may defy initial expectations.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism Factory New dropped in the CS2 community one year ago today, on September 21st, 2021. The highly popular skin was part of the Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, which coincided with the highly anticipated "Operation Riptide" update, adding a touch of excitement and exclusivity to the game.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) is a rare skin that can be obtained by opening one of the four containers containing the skin, namely the Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, and The 2021 Vertigo Collection. Sleek and in perfect condition, this skin is one of the most wanted among CS2 skins.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) holds a rank among the top 25% most popular items within CS2, which defines the item's real market demand. Its high sales volume for the day and high market price make this one.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. However, its rarity is listed as Industrial Grade, making the Mechanism skin a relatively common find within the game.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) skin is one of the cheapest CS2 skins, with prices starting from $0.07 and going up to $1.82. It is highly available because it's present in various markets, which means players can easily get it into their inventory. Moreover, with 94.4K units already in public CS2 inventories, it should be pretty easy for any enthusiast to get this skin.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism is available in all of its exterior styles in CS2 and has a float value that ranges from 0.00 to 0.49, ensuring a diverse selection for collectors. In addition, each exterior version has its corresponding Souvenir version, so players can get their Mechanism skin in whatever condition they like.
For CS2, the community sentiment toward Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) is extremely positive: 4.4 / 5 stars; over 1.6K votes-people have voted for this skin on addsskins.com. Its popularity is further confirmed because such well-known professional players as flusha and el1an also possess this skin.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) has a sleek, industrial look with its Anodized Airbrushed style. The candy coat application, done through freehand airbrushing, gives depth and texture to the generally grayish tone, creating a visually stimulating finish influenced by the pattern index.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.255 (-8.79%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.228 (-18.75%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.298 (6.36%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.64 (129.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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