Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested)

4.4 1694 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.05
+125%
Last month
$ 0.05
+125%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.086
-4.11%
In a quarter
$ 0.056
-37.44%
In half a year
$ 0.065
-27.33%
In a year
$ 0.124
+38.0%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
124 offers on 8 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 0.09
Skinport
Skinport
35 offers
from $ 0.16
Steam
Steam
58 offers
from $ 0.16
White.Market
White.Market
15 offers
from $ 0.17
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
9 offers
from $ 0.57
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
2 offers
from $ 0.58
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 0.59
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 0.59
Inspect skin
Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Mechanism inspecting UMP-45 | Mechanism reloading UMP-45 | Mechanism holding UMP-45 | Mechanism pose-1 UMP-45 | Mechanism pose-2 UMP-45 | Mechanism pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.09
  • 7 days low: $ 0.04
  • 7 days high: $ 8.19
  • 7 days price change: 125%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.04
  • 30 days high: $ 8.25
  • 30 days price change: 125%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.03
  • 90 days high: $ 8.29
  • Year low: $ 0.02
  • Year high: $ 55
  • All time low: $ 0.02
  • All time high: $ 1 579
  • All time max offers: 285
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 22
  • Sales for last 7 days: 184
  • Sales for last 30 days: 860
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1790
  • All time sales: 5259
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.3059
  • Volatility: 15.11%
  • Liquidity: 10.03%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.086
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.11%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.056
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -37.44%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.065
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -27.33%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.124
  • Price forecast change in a year: 38.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.057
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.057
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.007
-12.74%
Result
👎 Fail
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.05
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.04
80.00%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 0.057
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.057
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.007
-12.74%
Result
👎 Fail
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.05
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 28, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.04
80.00%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.033
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.107
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
Mil-Spec Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Blaze
Factory New
$ 84.61
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1630 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
60%
From last month
345 offers on 5 markets
4.8 561114
In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
313 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
81 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
28 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.16
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested) is an underestimated submachine gun with the best performance in close combat, having a small magazine capacity as the only drawback. The inlaid anodized pattern of engine components adds some kind of industrial charm to it, although some would beg to differ regarding its aesthetic value.

History

History

On September 21st, 2021, the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism burst into the competitive gaming atmosphere of CS2, enticing players with its sleek, real-to-life design and surefire delivery. This particular gun could only be exclusively obtained from the Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package that was released right about the same time as one of the most anticipated CS2 updates called "Operation Riptide" to date.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism Field-Tested is a rare skin and can be obtained by opening containers like Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, and Rio 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package. This skin also belongs to the collections of The 2021 Vertigo Collection, further adding to its rarity and making it highly desirable among collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested) is a very popular CS2 skin, and it has 75% popularity rating. This means that within the top 25% of the most popular skins in the game, the souvenir version of the Field-Tested quality UMP-45 | Mechanism has the rank in terms of sales volume and price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested) is one of the 237 other SMG skins in CS2. Being of Industrial Grade, the Mechanism is relatively common, hence quite frequently seen in the game.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested) for CS2 is an inexpensive skin and has a price range of $0.07-$1.82. To buy the skin, it is easily accessible and can be widely found on multiple markets. Currently, it has about 94.4K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float values for the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested) in CS2 range from 0.00 to 0.49, ensuring that this skin is available in all possible exteriors. Moreover, for every type of exterior, there exists a Souvenir version of the Mechanism skin, making options wide open for realistic choices.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested) in CS2 is extremely positive, having over 1.6K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Further validation of its popularity comes from ownership by professional CS2 players flusha and el1an.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested) in CS2 is made with the "Anodized Airbrushed" style, which resembles applying a candy coat by careful freehand airbrushing. The pattern index gives this skin a predominantly gray color scheme and makes it look quite realistic and industrial.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.086 (-4.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.056 (-37.44%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.065 (-27.33%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.124 (38.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.26
Max: 0.49
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players