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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear) tends to fly under the radar, which is a shame, really, as it shines in tight spaces with consistent automatic fire. Its magazine size is minimal, but its anodized pattern, akin to the interior of machinery, gives its otherwise Spartan design a certain panache.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism dropped in the virtual battlegrounds of CS2 on September 21st, 2021, as the crowning glory of the Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package. It fell on the same day as the highly expected "Operation Riptide" update, which introduced players to a whole new dimension of hard-breathing action and strategic warfare.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear) is a well-sought CS2 skin that could be obtained by opening certain containers, such as the Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, and Rio 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package. It is also part of The 2021 Vertigo Collection, so this item is in great demand among collectors and players alike.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear) has a high popularity rating at 75%, putting it into the most wanted items in CS2. This is due to the analysis of its daily sales volume and market value, which shows the item is really popular among players.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear) is one of 237 other SMG skins available in CS2. Its rarity, however, is Industrial Grade, which suggests that the Mechanism skin is relatively common to come across in-game.
This UMP-45 | Mechanism skin of Minimal Wear grade is really cheap, since its price ranges from $0.07 to $1.82. It is also rather easy to get because the skin is available in large amounts on all kinds of markets. That's why so many players have it, and this very skin is considered quite common as 94.4K units are circulating in public CS2 inventories.
Float value for Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear) lies in a range from 0.00 to 0.49, which makes this skin available in all exteriors for collectors. Moreover, players can get a Souvenir version of the Mechanism in every exterior, enabling them to make as many diverse and full sets of Souvenir UMP-45s as possible.
The community sentiment regarding the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars based on over 1.6K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further reinforced by ownership from renowned professional players flusha and el1an.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear) for CS2 boasts an attention-grabbing "Anodized Airbrushed" pattern, resembling a candy coat applied by an accomplished freehand airbrush technique. Dominated by its shades of gray, the final appearance of the Mechanism finish depends on the pattern index, making each skin individually unique.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 0.098 (-30.29%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.093 (-33.64%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.102 (-27.36%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.214 (53.21%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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