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3 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) is often underestimated because of its small magazine capacity, but its adaptability to close combat is unrivaled. The anodized pattern of the skin, which looks like detailed engine parts, is unattractive for some players, but it cannot be argued with in terms of functionality.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) made its debut in the world of CS2 exactly one year ago, on September 21st, 2021. This sought-after skin became available through the Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, which coincided with the exciting "Operation Riptide" update, adding a touch of French elegance to the game.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) can be obtained by opening cases in one of the four collections this skin is part of, including the Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, and The 2021 Vertigo Collection. This skin features a well-worn wear type with noticeable scratches and texture loss for a more realistic, unique finish.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular skins amongst CS2 players, holding a popularity rating of 75%. For this reason, it is within the top 25% of the most wanted skins in the game, which is an indicator of its high demand and value within the gaming community. The popularity of this skin is determined through its consistent volume in sales on a daily basis and the high price it commands in the market.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) is one of the 237 other SMG skins in existence within CS2. Mechanism is an Industrial Grade skin and thus a quite common drop, hence so widely spread among players.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) is one of the most budgetary options for players, being within a price range of $0.07-$1.82. As it's a widely available skin in different markets, this piece is quite easy to be added to one's inventory. To be more specific, 94.4K units of Mechanism are available in public CS2 inventories at the moment.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) in CS2 has a float value ranging from 0.00 to 0.49 and is available in all possible exterior versions, ensuring the skin looks realistic and well-worn. Besides, for each exterior, one is able to get a Souvenir version of the Mechanism skin, which adds some sort of uniqueness to your collection.
The community sentiment regarding the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with a high average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars based on over 1.6K votes on addskins.gg. This fact is further reinforced by ownership from the two most well-known professional players, flusha and el1an.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) for CS2 has a rather realistic "Anodized Airbrushed" style applied in a candy coat fashion using freehand airbrushing. Generally gray with touches of it, the final appearance of the Mechanism finish is dependent on the pattern index used, yielding an unusually intricate and realistic pattern.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 0.355 (4.41%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.59 (72.27%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.7 (104.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.485 (42.62%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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