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3 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Mudder is a somewhat underrated member of the SMG family. In close quarters, the compact magazine size is all that holds it back from reaching its full potential. The worn, mottled exterior has been augmented with a unique marbleized pattern.
The UMP-45 | Mudder was introduced in CS2 on September 3rd, 2018, as part of the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package. This package was launched with the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update, offering players a battle-scarred skin that added a touch of grit and character to their arsenal.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Battle-Scarred) is a rare skin that can be obtained by opening one of the seven containers that contain this particular skin, including the Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package. Moreover, the skin belongs to The 2018 Inferno Collection, making it even more exclusive and highly wanted by collectors.
The UMP-45 | Mudder (Battle-Scarred) has a high popularity vote currently and is within the top 25% of the most popular items in CS2. This grade is determined by looking through the skin's sales data and its price in the market, which together can be used to determine its demand in the player base.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Battle-Scarred) is one of 237 other SMG skins in CS2. The Mudder is a pretty common sight in-game, with its Consumer Grade rarity, and is therefore quite easy to get for players.
The UMP-45 | Mudder (Battle-Scarred) skin is pretty budget-friendly for CS2 players, with prices starting at $0.01 and reaching a peak of $0.66. It's popular because one can easily get it from different markets. Therefore, this skin will be pretty easy to get if someone wants to have it in their collection. Moreover, the total amount of 4.2 million units in public CS2 inventories proves that it is very widespread.
The float value of this skin, the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Battle-Scarred), ranges between 0.06 - 0.80; hence, in CS: GO, a player can only get this skin in any exterior condition. Further, for every exterior of this Mudder skin, there is also a corresponding Souvenir available.
The community sentiment regarding the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is extremely positive; this skin has received an average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars with over 5.4K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further validated by its ownership among renowned professional players like fallen, kennys, and fnx.
Mudder finish on this Battle-Scarred Souvenir UMP-45 has a finish with a disassembled weapon design immersed into the water tank with floating hydrographic film. This sticks to the primed weapon parts, making it largely gray. The pattern index sets some finish specifics about the look of this skin within CS2.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 0.013 (-34.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.019 (-4.5%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.02 (-1.5%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.04 (97.5%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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