Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Factory New)

4.7 5464 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.02
+2.5%
Last month
$ 0.02
+2.5%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.85
+1.19%
In a quarter
$ 0.93
+10.71%
In half a year
$ 1.17
+39.29%
In a year
$ 1.8
+114.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
34% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
78 offers on 8 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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from $ 99.99
Inspect skin
Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Mudder inspecting UMP-45 | Mudder reloading UMP-45 | Mudder holding UMP-45 | Mudder pose-1 UMP-45 | Mudder pose-2 UMP-45 | Mudder pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.82
  • 7 days low: $ 0.8
  • 7 days high: $ 99.99
  • 7 days price change: 2.5%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.8
  • 30 days high: $ 99.99
  • 30 days price change: 2.5%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.62
  • 90 days high: $ 99.99
  • Year low: $ 0.3
  • Year high: $ 99.99
  • All time low: $ 0.3
  • All time high: $ 99.99
  • All time max offers: 142
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 13
  • Sales for last 30 days: 53
  • Sales for last 90 days: 140
  • All time sales: 387
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 3.97
  • Volatility: 14.25%
  • Liquidity: 7.16%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.85
  • Price forecast change in a month: 1.19%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.93
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 10.71%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1.17
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 39.29%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1.8
  • Price forecast change in a year: 114.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.99
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.99
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.12
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.1
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.74
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.67
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.07
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.83
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.06
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.68
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.83
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.87
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.84
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.97
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.91
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.92
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.99
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
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$ 84.58
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
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From last month
1630 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
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From last month
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In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
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Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
313 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
81 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
28 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.15
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The often underestimated UMP-45 | Mudder (Factory New) is one of the most versatile SMGs that fit right into close-quarters combat, only disadvantaged by a low magazine capacity. The sleek marbleized pattern adds a touch of class to its otherwise rugged outlook.

History

History

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder entered competitive CS2 for the first time on September 3rd, 2018, as a part of the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package. This particular skin had been released on this day with the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update to add some good flair in the game's arsenal.

Origin

Origin

Well, for instance, The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder Factory New boasts high demand as one skin in CS2 since it was found inside such containers as the Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and the Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package. Additionally, it falls into a particular category valued item of The 2018 Inferno Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder is a highly popular item amongst the CS2 skin community, with an in-game popularity rating of 75%. It's commonly found in the top 25% of items as ranked by its sales data and market value in online transactions.

Rarity

Rarity

Factory New: The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder There are 237 other skins for SMG in the game CS2 which is a Consumer Grade (quite common and often played) skin.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Factory New) has a very low price: it ranges from $0.01 to $0.66, which allows almost any CS2 player to get this skin. The skin is pretty easy to get since it is available in lots of markets, and with a floating volume of about 4.2 million units in public inventories, it is an extremely widespread skin.

Versions

Versions

It goes for values from 0.06 to 0.80, which makes sure the souvenir skin is offered for every exterior in this range, including Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, and Battle-Scarred variants of this skin. Therefore, there is also another exterior that corresponds to the UMP-45 | Mudder, a souvenir type available for each of these three different categories.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Factory New) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with a high average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars based on over 5.4K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further emphasized by its ownership among renowned professional players such as fallen, kennys, and fnx.

Finish style

Finish style

A peculiar hydrographic design is seen on this Mudder finish Souvenir UMP-45, which involves dipping parts of the weapon in a water tank covered by a floating film. Primarily gray, this design incorporates sleekness and modern touches, but much of it depends on the pattern index that determines its overall outlook.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 0.85 (1.19%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.93 (10.71%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 1.17 (39.29%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1.8 (114.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players