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3 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Mudder is one of those underappreciated SMGs, largely because it has a minimal magazine capacity, but with this capability in close combat, the UMP-45 is one heck of an opponent. Adding the nice marbleized pattern, on top of this rugged gun, makes for an appealing look on the battlefield.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder made its debut in the world of CS2 on September 3rd, 2018, as a part of the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package. It was introduced alongside the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update, offering players a chance to obtain this unique skin while enjoying the competitive action.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) can be obtained by opening one of the seven containers that have this skin, which include Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package. It is also part of The 2018 Inferno Collection, which allows players to receive this realistic and battle-worn UMP-45 skin.
Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) has a popularity of 75%, which is quite high, and currently stands in the top 25% of the most popular items in CS2. This is defined by its steady volume in sales every day and the relatively high price in the skin market.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) is a skin that belongs to the 237 different SMG skins in CS2. Its rarity classification is Consumer Grade; it is, therefore, relatively common and frequently seen in the game.
This CS2 skin, the UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear), has an extremely low price: from $0.01 to $0.66, which makes it highly affordable and, consequently, easy to get, as it is available for sale in numerous markets; meanwhile, it is found in public CS2 inventories up to 4.2 million copies, which also makes this souvenir version highly available for collectors and players.
The Souvenir form of UMP-45 | Mudder has a high demand for itself in the game and contains a floating value of 0.06 - 0.80 that covers it in all cases. It also comes in each sort of exterior with a 'Souvenir' form adding to more collectibility among players.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) attracted much attention within the CS2 community, having more than 5.4K votes on addskins.gg and a high average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. This is further emphasized by the fact that this skin belongs to famous professional players such as fallen, kennys, and fnx, underlining its value and popularity.
The pattern index of this Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) skin is highly influential in its appearance, as the disassembled weapon parts are immersed in a water tank with a floating hydrographic film. The resulting pattern covers the surface of the gun in various shades of gray, creating a realistic and weathered look.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 0.02 (0.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.02 (-1.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.021 (3.5%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.051 (158.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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