Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear)

4.7 5544 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.02
0.0%
In a quarter
$ 0.02
-1.0%
In half a year
$ 0.021
+3.5%
In a year
$ 0.051
+158.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
78% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
662 offers on 5 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
128 offers
from $ 0.02
White.Market
White.Market
21 offers
from $ 0.03
Bitskins
Bitskins
28 offers
from $ 0.04
Steam
Steam
479 offers
from $ 0.05
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
6 offers
from $ 0.135
Inspect skin
Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Mudder inspecting UMP-45 | Mudder reloading UMP-45 | Mudder holding UMP-45 | Mudder pose-1 UMP-45 | Mudder pose-2 UMP-45 | Mudder pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.02
  • 7 days low: $ 0.02
  • 7 days high: $ 350
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.02
  • 30 days high: $ 350
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.005
  • 90 days high: $ 350
  • Year low: $ 0.005
  • Year high: $ 350
  • All time low: $ 0.005
  • All time high: $ 350
  • All time max offers: 1087
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 82
  • Sales for last 7 days: 424
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1450
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3394
  • All time sales: 9234
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 2.74
  • Volatility: 23.2%
  • Liquidity: 9.95%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.02
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.0%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.02
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -1.0%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.021
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 3.5%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.051
  • Price forecast change in a year: 158.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.02
100.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.019
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.017
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.018
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.02
100.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.02
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.04
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
78%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
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$ 84.51
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1620 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
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From last month
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In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
331 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
90 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
24 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.14
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Mudder is one of those underappreciated SMGs, largely because it has a minimal magazine capacity, but with this capability in close combat, the UMP-45 is one heck of an opponent. Adding the nice marbleized pattern, on top of this rugged gun, makes for an appealing look on the battlefield.

History

History

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder made its debut in the world of CS2 on September 3rd, 2018, as a part of the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package. It was introduced alongside the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update, offering players a chance to obtain this unique skin while enjoying the competitive action.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) can be obtained by opening one of the seven containers that have this skin, which include Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package. It is also part of The 2018 Inferno Collection, which allows players to receive this realistic and battle-worn UMP-45 skin.

Popularity

Popularity

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) has a popularity of 75%, which is quite high, and currently stands in the top 25% of the most popular items in CS2. This is defined by its steady volume in sales every day and the relatively high price in the skin market.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) is a skin that belongs to the 237 different SMG skins in CS2. Its rarity classification is Consumer Grade; it is, therefore, relatively common and frequently seen in the game.

Availability

Availability

This CS2 skin, the UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear), has an extremely low price: from $0.01 to $0.66, which makes it highly affordable and, consequently, easy to get, as it is available for sale in numerous markets; meanwhile, it is found in public CS2 inventories up to 4.2 million copies, which also makes this souvenir version highly available for collectors and players.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir form of UMP-45 | Mudder has a high demand for itself in the game and contains a floating value of 0.06 - 0.80 that covers it in all cases. It also comes in each sort of exterior with a 'Souvenir' form adding to more collectibility among players.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) attracted much attention within the CS2 community, having more than 5.4K votes on addskins.gg and a high average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. This is further emphasized by the fact that this skin belongs to famous professional players such as fallen, kennys, and fnx, underlining its value and popularity.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index of this Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) skin is highly influential in its appearance, as the disassembled weapon parts are immersed in a water tank with a floating hydrographic film. The resulting pattern covers the surface of the gun in various shades of gray, creating a realistic and weathered look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 0.02 (0.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.02 (-1.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.021 (3.5%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.051 (158.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players