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2 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Mudder is the often-overlooked member of the SMG family, bringing a lot of close-quarters punch with its reliable automatic fire. Its unique marbleized pattern adds a touch of class to its worn look, making it a stylish choice for those who value both form and function.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Well-Worn) first appeared in the CS2 virtual battleground on September 3rd, 2018, being a part of the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package. This skin was released along with the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update, bringing a touch of gritty realism to the arsenal of CS2.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Well-Worn) is a rare skin that can be obtained by opening one of the seven containers that have this particular skin, which includes the Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package. Additionally, it is part of The 2018 Inferno Collection, making it all that more exclusive and desirable for collectors and players alike.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Well-Worn) features a good popularity of 75%, boasting the top 25 percent of items, which players want to use in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. The following is an approximate review based on an item's daily sales volumes and price upon purchase. Skin demand allows one to state that this design is rather hot.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Well-Worn) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. This skin is of Consumer Grade rarity, which makes it pretty common and frequently encountered during gameplay.
Such skin as Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Well-Worn) will be the cheapest option starting from $0.01 and up to $0.66, which could be affordable for any gamer. Moreover, this skin can be easily purchased on markets. The total amount in all public CS2 inventories equaled about 4.2 million units of such a skin as Mudder.
The float value of the Well-Worn Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, ensuring this battle-scarred skin is attainable in all its worn-out glory. Whatever its exterior may be, a Souvenir variant of the Mudder is available, and collectors can show off their well-worn pride.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Well-Worn) attracts a great deal of community attention and has received numerous votes on addskins.gg, making its average rating a stunning 4.7 out of 5 stars. The popularity of this skin has reached professional players in the CS2 world: fallen, kennys, and fnx have been spotted wearing this particular skin.
The Mudder finish on this Souvenir UMP-45 features disassembled weapon parts being lowered through a floating hydrographic film on the surface of a water tank, adhering to the primed parts and covering them with a pattern. The predominantly gray shades give this skin a sleek and industrial appearance, while the pattern index adds depth and variation to the overall finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Mudder (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.02 (-0.5%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.019 (-4.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.021 (5.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.053 (163.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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