Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)

4.5 5726 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.015
+60%
Last month
$ 0.021
+111%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.034
-16.07%
In a quarter
$ 0.024
-39.65%
In half a year
$ 0.028
-31.3%
In a year
$ 0.051
+28.08%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
627 offers on 8 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Scorched inspecting UMP-45 | Scorched reloading UMP-45 | Scorched holding UMP-45 | Scorched pose-1 UMP-45 | Scorched pose-2 UMP-45 | Scorched pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.04
  • 7 days low: $ 0.025
  • 7 days high: $ 3 333
  • 7 days price change: 60%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.019
  • 30 days high: $ 3 333
  • 30 days price change: 111%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.01
  • 90 days high: $ 3 333
  • Year low: $ 0.006
  • Year high: $ 3 333
  • All time low: $ 0.006
  • All time high: $ 3 333
  • All time max offers: 1405
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 34
  • Sales for last 7 days: 344
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2158
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3336
  • All time sales: 8099
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 8, 2025
  • Risk: -0.4486
  • Volatility: 26.0%
  • Liquidity: 5.45%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.034
  • Price forecast change in a month: -16.07%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.024
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -39.65%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.028
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -31.3%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.051
  • Price forecast change in a year: 28.08%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.01
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.01
100.00%
Result
👍 Success
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.019
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.037
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.017
85.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.035
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.037
Action
📉 Sell
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.01
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.01
100.00%
Result
👍 Success
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.019
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.011
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.037
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.017
85.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.035
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.037
Action
📉 Sell
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
📉 Sell
November 8, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.027
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.03
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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$ 55.14
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Description

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) is often overlooked; though it has a small magazine capacity, it's not bad in close combat-a pretty versatile gun. The sunlit pattern has been used in this spray-painted design. Rebirth, not destruction, says Valeria Jenner, the Revolutionary.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Scorched was first added to Counter-Strike: Global Offensive on July 1st, 2014, when it was released as part of the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package. It was released alongside the highly hyped "Operation Breakout" update, adding new maps, missions, and skins for weapons.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) is a rare skin that can be obtained by opening one of the 17 containers, including Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, or Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. It is also part of The Overpass Collection, which further adds to its exclusivity and demand among CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) has gained substantial popularity in the CS2 community, boasting a solid 65% popularity rating. This rating is determined by evaluating its daily sales volume and market price, indicating a strong demand and appreciation for this skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) is a skin from 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. This skin has Consumer Grade rarity, which is fairly common to see within the game.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is relatively cheap - it costs from $0.01 to $4.13, which is pretty affordable. Moreover, it is highly available - this skin can be bought on any market, and players have many chances to get it into their collection. Indeed, there are already 498.4K units of the Scorched skin in open CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) comes in all of the exterior version and range from 0.06 to 0.80 float value; this will ensure that skins come in all conditions: Battle-Scarred has several similar versions of collectors with all exterior skins attached.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is generally positive, with an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars based on over 5.6K votes on addskins.gg. This is further evidenced by ownership of this skin by two of the most famous professional players, fallen and snax.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 comes with a Spray-Paint style and a finish named Scorched. The different coats of spray paint, through stencil patterns, go on in gray shades over the weapon. The skin pattern index changes the way the Scorched finish will look, adding a personal touch to this battle-worn skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 0.034 (-16.07%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.024 (-39.65%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.028 (-31.3%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.051 (28.08%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.