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4 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) is often overlooked; though it has a small magazine capacity, it's not bad in close combat-a pretty versatile gun. The sunlit pattern has been used in this spray-painted design. Rebirth, not destruction, says Valeria Jenner, the Revolutionary.
The UMP-45 | Scorched was first added to Counter-Strike: Global Offensive on July 1st, 2014, when it was released as part of the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package. It was released alongside the highly hyped "Operation Breakout" update, adding new maps, missions, and skins for weapons.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) is a rare skin that can be obtained by opening one of the 17 containers, including Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, or Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. It is also part of The Overpass Collection, which further adds to its exclusivity and demand among CS2 players.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) has gained substantial popularity in the CS2 community, boasting a solid 65% popularity rating. This rating is determined by evaluating its daily sales volume and market price, indicating a strong demand and appreciation for this skin.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) is a skin from 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. This skin has Consumer Grade rarity, which is fairly common to see within the game.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is relatively cheap - it costs from $0.01 to $4.13, which is pretty affordable. Moreover, it is highly available - this skin can be bought on any market, and players have many chances to get it into their collection. Indeed, there are already 498.4K units of the Scorched skin in open CS2 inventories.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) comes in all of the exterior version and range from 0.06 to 0.80 float value; this will ensure that skins come in all conditions: Battle-Scarred has several similar versions of collectors with all exterior skins attached.
The community sentiment for the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is generally positive, with an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars based on over 5.6K votes on addskins.gg. This is further evidenced by ownership of this skin by two of the most famous professional players, fallen and snax.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 comes with a Spray-Paint style and a finish named Scorched. The different coats of spray paint, through stencil patterns, go on in gray shades over the weapon. The skin pattern index changes the way the Scorched finish will look, adding a personal touch to this battle-worn skin.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 0.034 (-16.07%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.024 (-39.65%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.028 (-31.3%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.051 (28.08%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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