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2 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) is one of those underappreciated powerhouses in the SMG class, having very remarkable versatility in close-quarters combat, with only a small drawback of a rather low magazine capacity. The skin has an engaging spray-painted pattern that resembles sun-drenched patterns, symbolizing for Valeria Jenner, the Revolutionary, not destruction but rebirth.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) was released in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive on July 1st, 2014, and was part of the highly awaited Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package. This skin was released along with "Operation Breakout", increasing the hype and adding a newer, cooler weapon skin that players could use.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) in CS2 could be one of the drops from receiving a souvenir crate from among the 17 containers, which included Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. This skin also belongs to the collection of The Overpass Collection, hence increasing the exclusivity factor in addition to its collectible aspect.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) has a rather high popularity rating of 65% among CS2 fans, which means this skin is in high demand. This is measured by the number of skins sold every day in conjunction with its market value, which is indicative of its popularity within the community.
The Factory New Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched is a skin from 237 SMG skins in CS2. However, the Consumer Grade rarity suggests that it is relatively common, so it can be often found in the game.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched Factory New skin in CS2 is a cheap skin, which has a price from $0.01 to $4.13. It's easily available because it was widely presented on different markets, so this skin is very popular among players. There is a huge supply - right now, there are 498.4K units of the Scorched skin available in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched Factory New is from 0.06 to 0.80, which means the skin is available in all types of exteriors in CS2. Besides, for every type of exterior, there is an available Souvenir version of the skin Scorched UMP-45.
Community sentiments regarding the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) of CS2 is positive; after a lot of voting at addskins.gg, this skin got a very impressive average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars, which also proved its popularity and influenced such famous players as Fallen and Snax to decide to own this skin.
This Factory New Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched features a Spray-Paint style with complex stencil patterns carefully painted over multiple layers of paint. The gray coloration predominates in this weapon, adding to its sleekness, while the pattern index gives this Scorched finish a unique touch.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.93 (-5.1%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.8 (-18.37%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.89 (-9.18%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1.69 (72.45%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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