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1 minute ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Scorched is often passed over for flashier options, but it is a very capable close-quarters combatant, hampered only by its small magazine capacity. The sun-kissed design sprayed on this gun has a rebirth quality to it, challenging the notion that the Phoenix is solely a harbinger of destruction.
The UMP-45 | Scorched was released into the CS2 community on July 1st, 2014, with the Operation Breakout update. It was included in the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package, which would present players with the opportunity to get this battle-worn submachine gun with a scorched finish.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) can be acquired by opening one of the 17 containers that house this particular skin, such as the Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. Additionally, it is a member of The Overpass Collection, offering players a chance to obtain it through various means.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) is one of the most popular skins in CS2, which has a popularity rating of 65%. Its desirability is well reflected by its stable sales volume every day and by its relatively high price in the market.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched is a CS2 skin from The Breakout Collection and is one of 237 other SMG skins. This skin is Consumer Grade which is considered pretty common and often see during gameplay.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) for CS2 represents an affordable in-game skin, which can be purchased for $0.01-$4.13. The skin is highly available because it is present in multiple markets, and therefore, it is pretty easy to get it for a player. Moreover, there is a substantial amount of 498.4K units of the Scorched skin available in public CS2 inventories.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) in CS2 features all exteriors, from 0.06 to 0.80 float value, thus providing the collectors with a wide choice. Besides, each of the exterior versions has its Souvenir version, which means one can get a Scorched skin with a commemorative touch.
The community sentiment towards the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) in CS2 is highly positive, as evidenced by its impressive rating of 4.5 stars out of 5 based on over 5.6K votes on addskins.gg. Furthermore, its popularity extends to professional players, with notable figures like fallen and snax owning this skin.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) in CS2 has a Spray-Paint style and a Scorched finish. Multiple layers of spray paint are applied through stencil patterns, with a dominant gray color for the weapon. The appearance of the Scorched finish changes with its pattern index, which makes this particular skin unique.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.018 (-8.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.016 (-19.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.019 (-6.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.033 (63.5%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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