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3 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is a versatile close-quarters automatic, frequently underappreciated because of its small magazine size. The sun-dappled spray-painted pattern in this skin represents not destruction, but rebirth, says Valeria Jenner, the Revolutionary.
The UMP-45 | Scorched was added to CS2 on July 1st, 2014, and was part of the new items that came with the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package. This sleek and battle-worn submachine gun became an instant hit among players, especially with its Minimal Wear variant, showcasing the perfect balance of usage and preservation.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is a Covert skin, exclusive to the game, opening one of the 17 different containers that feature this particular skin, which includes cases such as Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. This is also part of The Overpass Collection, further making the skin rare for both collectors and players.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is very well-liked within the CS2 community, as witnessed by its high popularity rating at 65%. This is observed through its daily sales volume and the skin's current market price, showing quite strong demand and appreciation with regard to its aesthetic value and rarity.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is one of 237 other SMG skins in CS2. The skin has a Consumer Grade rarity, which makes it rather common and often found in matches.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) skin for CS2 has a very cheap price, standing anywhere from $0.01-$4.13. This skin is considered easy to get because it was sold on multiple markets and is present in about 498.4K units in the public CS2 inventories.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is available in all exteriors, ranging from 0.06 to 0.80 in float value. The collectors also can find Souvenir versions of the Scorched skin in every exterior variation.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) gained a lot of support in the community with more than 5.6K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Also, the fact that such great professional players of CS2 as fallen and snax are owners of this skin speaks for its popularity among pro players.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched Minimal Wear has a Spray-Paint style and a Scorched finish, with several coats applied by spray paint in stencil patterns. The base color of gray adds sleekness and an industrial feel to the skin, while the pattern index affects the overall look of the Scorched finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 0.02 (-0.5%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.029 (43.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.022 (12.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.054 (171.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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