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1 minute ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 19 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) is a reliable close-quarters automatic, marred only by its limited magazine capacity. The sun-dappled pattern has been spray-painted on, and it looks quite unique and striking. This skin embodies Valeria Jenner's belief in the Phoenix as a symbol of rebirth rather than destruction.
The UMP-45 | Scorched first debuted in CS2 on July 1st, 2014, upon its release in the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package. This case was released in conjunction with the highly anticipated "Operation Breakout" update and gave players the opportunity to earn this battle-scarred beauty as a souvenir of their virtual exploits.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) is a rare skin that can be obtained by opening one of the 17 containers that hold this particular design, such as the Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package containers. It is also part of The Overpass Collection, adding to its exclusivity and desirability among collectors and players alike.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) has grown in popularity among CS2 players, reaching a popularity rating of 65%. Its popularity is based on the volume of daily sales and the price of the skin.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. The skin has Consumer Grade rarity, which stands for a rather common level; hence it can easily and frequently be encountered.
The UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) skin for CS2 represents an inexpensive purchase, its price lying within the range of $0.01-$4.13. It's widely available at multiple markets, which will make buying this skin really easy. There's a huge pool of 498.4K units of the Scorched skin in the public CS2 inventories.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) in CS2 has a float value of 0.38-0.45, which is battle-scarred, with extensive wear and tear. This version is available in all exteriors, offering a unique and authentic look to collectors and players alike.
The community sentiment of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) of CS2 is quite good, as can be seen by its high average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars over more than 5.6K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further supported by the ownership of this skin by renowned professional players fallen and snax.
The Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) in CS2 features a "Spray-Paint" style with a Scorched finish. The weapon has stencil patterns with several layers of gray paint over them, giving it a unique and worn look that depends on the pattern index.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 0.036 (78.5%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.025 (25.5%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.032 (60.5%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.057 (183.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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