Souvenir UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New)

4.6 10653 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 7.16
+66.23%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 6.61
-63.22%
In a quarter
$ 16.58
-7.74%
In half a year
$ 16.81
-6.46%
In a year
$ 32.76
+82.3%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
80% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
20 offers on 7 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
5 offers
from $ 17.97
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
3 offers
from $ 18.47
Steam
Steam
7 offers
from $ 20.7
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 29.77
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 49
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 49.99
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 58.56
Inspect skin
Souvenir UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT inspecting UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT reloading UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT holding UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT pose-1 UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT pose-2 UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 17.97
  • 7 days low: $ 17.97
  • 7 days high: $ 527
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 10.81
  • 30 days high: $ 531
  • 30 days price change: 66.23%
  • 90 days low: $ 10.81
  • 90 days high: $ 534
  • Year low: $ 5.84
  • Year high: $ 534
  • All time low: $ 5.84
  • All time high: $ 534
  • All time max offers: 22
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 4
  • Sales for last 30 days: 13
  • Sales for last 90 days: 25
  • All time sales: 60
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.77
  • Volatility: 12.64%
  • Liquidity: 4.39%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 6.61
  • Price forecast change in a month: -63.22%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 16.58
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -7.74%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 16.81
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -6.46%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 32.76
  • Price forecast change in a year: 82.3%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 9.64
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.64
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 22.22
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 14.74
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 18.33
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.69
90.15%
Result
👍 Success
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 17.97
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.97
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 9.64
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.64
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 15.95
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 14.41
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 11.21
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 11.22
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 11.09
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 11.09
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.06
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 14.65
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 14.74
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 14.6
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 22.22
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 14.74
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 18.4
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 18.33
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.69
90.15%
Result
👍 Success
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 17.97
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.97
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 8.69
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 27.61
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
Mil-Spec Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Blaze
Factory New
$ 84.54
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1629 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
60%
From last month
345 offers on 5 markets
4.8 561114
In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
294 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
90 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
26 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.14
42%
From last week
19 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) is a very versatile SMG, only really let down by its rather small magazine size. Its slick Digital Disruptive Pattern hydrographic paint job ensures opponents will be none the wiser until it's too late to do anything about it.

History

History

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) first appeared in virtual reality on November 27th, 2013, when it was added as part of the Berlin 2019 Train Souvenir Package. Right from its release, this highly popular skin became an instant darling of the players due to its sleek design and pristine factory-new condition, adding a touch of urban style to their arsenal.

Origin

Origin

Souvenir UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) has a Restricted rarity skin that can only be obtained from certain containers such as Atlanta 2017 Train Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Train Souvenir Package, and Boston 2018 Train Souvenir Package. This skin also belongs to The Train Collection, making it rare and valuable among collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

Souvenir UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT factory new has a popularity rating in CS2 of 75%. This skin stands almost always among the Top-25% most sold on any given day, one of the factors being high demand, added to its relatively high market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) is one of 237 other SMG skins in CS2. Still, its rarity is tagged as Consumer Grade, which is a pretty common sight in the game.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) is one of the cheap skins in CS2. Its price ranges from $0.01 to $9.00, which makes it more affordable for CS2 players. It is also pretty abundant and can be purchased from virtually any marketplace. In fact, there are about 6.5 million units of the Urban DDPAT skin in public CS2 inventories right now.

Versions

Versions

The UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT in Factory New condition has a float value ranging from 0.06 to 0.80, allowing players to obtain this skin in any exterior variant. Additionally, there are Souvenir versions available for each exterior option of the Urban DDPAT skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) enjoys a very positive reception in the CS2 community; it gathered a huge amount of votes on addskins.gg, with an average rating of 4.6/5 stars. Its reputation is even further bolstered due to its ownership by a professional CS2 player known as fallen.

Finish style

Finish style

The Urban DDPAT finish on this Souvenir UMP-45 uses a "Hydrographic" style, for which the parts of the weapon are dipped in a water tank with a floating film that sticks to them and provides a patterned surface. The pattern index affects the overall appearance, while the actual pattern consists mainly of shades of gray.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 6.61 (-63.22%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 16.58 (-7.74%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 16.81 (-6.46%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 32.76 (82.3%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players