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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The battle-scarred XM1014 | Ancient Lore was added to CS2's inventory on December 3rd, 2020, inclusive of the Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package, which came with "Operation Broken Fang". That was a package that gave a shot in the arm as a new shotgun, plus giving them a chance to carry out battles in this theme of ancientness.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Battle-Scarred) can be acquired by unboxing any of the four containers that hold this skin, namely the Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, and The Ancient Collection. Opening these containers grants a chance to obtain this battle-scarred variant of the XM1014 | Ancient Lore skin.
The XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Battle-Scarred) is the most wanted skin in CS2, holding about 70% of the popularity. It constantly has been within the top 30% of the most popular items according to its sales volume and price.
The XM1014 | Ancient Lore is one of 134 other Shotgun skins in CS2, making it somewhat rare to find. Given that it has a rarity classification of Restricted, the Ancient Lore has an estimated drop chance of 15.98%, adding to its rarity even more.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Battle-Scarred) is considered a rather cheap skin. Its price starts at $0.44 and can reach $36.45. It is well accessible because it's available on many markets. Besides, there is an enormous amount of 10.8K units of Ancient Lore in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the Battle-Scarred version of the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore in CS2 is from 0.45 to 0.50, with heavy wear and tear, a lot of scratches, and big parts of the design faded out. Even though the Ancient Lore has a battle-scarred look, the souvenir is available in all of the exteriors; therefore, collectors can get their souvenir from various memorable matches.
The community sentiment towards the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, at an average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars, per over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg. The skin also gained recognition within the professional CS2 scene, since it is currently owned by the great player frozen.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Battle-Scarred) skin in CS2 features an extraordinary "Anodized Multicolored" style; the candy coat is expertly applied in a vibrant multicolored pattern and resembles a work of art. In real life, this finish would have been produced using a silk-screening or adherable stencil process to ensure that the pattern looks visually attractive. Ancient Lore's appearance is affected by its pattern index, which makes each particular weapon unique.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 2.09 (-16.4%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2.39 (-4.4%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 3.38 (35.2%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 5.33 (113.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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