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3 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The highly coveted XM1014 | Ancient Lore dropped into CS2 on December 3rd, 2020, when the Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package went live to celebrate the highly hyped "Operation Broken Fang" update. Since then, it has become a collector's dream and the player's go-to due to its detailed design and historical significance.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore, Factory New, can be obtained by opening any of the four containers featuring this skin: the Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, and The Ancient Collection. This is one of the most popular skins, with detailed, ancient-looking designs, and is highly valued by CS2 collectors and enthusiasts.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) is highly sought after in the CS2 community, with a popularity rating of 70%. This places it among the top 30% of the most coveted items in the game, determined by its daily sales volume and market price.
The Ancient Lore is a skin for the XM1014 and one of 134 Shotgun skins in CS2. It features an overall rarity of Restricted and is considered to be rather rare, with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) in CS2 is such a skin that provides a perfect value-for-money ratio and can be purchased from markets for as low as $0.44 and as high as $36.45. This skin is moderately available and can be openly bought from several markets for the players to have a great chance of getting it in their inventory. Additionally, 10.8K units are already in public CS2 inventories, indicating Ancient Lore is pretty fashionable among players.
The float value of the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, making it available in all exteriors. Additionally, there is a corresponding Souvenir version for the Ancient Lore in every exterior, offering collectors a variety of options.
Community Sentiment: Over 1.9K votes on addsins.com show that community love for Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) is incredibly high in CS2, as shown by its average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. Further validity of this skin's popularity is also cemented with the professional CS2 player frozen owning this exact skin.
This version of the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore skin in CS2 sports an "Anodized Multicolored" pattern that gives it a highly bright and multicolored candy coat. In the real world, this would have to be done using some process such as silk-screening or using adherable stencils. In game, the result is an outrageously gaudy, ever-changing mess of colors. Because the pattern index used when the Ancient Lore finish was applied significantly impacts how it looks, each skin has a unique look to it.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 4.49 (-2.18%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 4.26 (-7.19%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 4.36 (-5.01%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 5.69 (23.97%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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