Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear)

4.7 1968 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.12
+56.28%
Last month
$ 1.62
+109%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.01
-34.31%
In a quarter
$ 1.59
-48.04%
In half a year
$ 2.25
-26.47%
In a year
$ 1.84
-39.87%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
29% - Forecast accuracy
29% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
46 offers on 9 markets
Updated9 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 3.11
Bitskins
Bitskins
5 offers
from $ 3.3
White.Market
White.Market
4 offers
from $ 4.04
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 4.08
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 4.11
Steam
Steam
9 offers
from $ 4.4
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 4.51
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
6 offers
from $ 4.6
Skinport
Skinport
16 offers
from $ 4.67
Inspect skin
Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
XM1014 | Ancient Lore inspecting XM1014 | Ancient Lore reloading XM1014 | Ancient Lore holding XM1014 | Ancient Lore pose-1 XM1014 | Ancient Lore pose-2 XM1014 | Ancient Lore pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.11
  • 24h price change: 1.63%
  • 7 days low: $ 1.99
  • 7 days high: $ 19.51
  • 7 days price change: 56.28%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.49
  • 30 days high: $ 19.51
  • 30 days price change: 109%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.22
  • 90 days high: $ 19.51
  • Year low: $ 0.95
  • Year high: $ 19.51
  • All time low: $ 0.95
  • All time high: $ 40.4
  • All time max offers: 143
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 33
  • Sales for last 30 days: 133
  • Sales for last 90 days: 302
  • All time sales: 816
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.64
  • Volatility: 23.55%
  • Liquidity: 7.64%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.01
  • Price forecast change in a month: -34.31%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.59
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -48.04%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 2.25
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -26.47%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1.84
  • Price forecast change in a year: -39.87%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.72
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.63
Action
📉 Sell
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.51
Action
❌ Avoid
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 2.8
Action
📉 Sell
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.72
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.52
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.42
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.31
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.23
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.22
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.45
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 1.44
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 1.48
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 1.4
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 1.49
Action
❌ Avoid
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.63
Action
📉 Sell
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.51
Action
❌ Avoid
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 2.8
Action
📉 Sell
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.2
Action
📉 Sell
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
29%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
29%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
$ 17.27 $ 44.72
10 offers on 2 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

History

History

The XM1014 | Ancient Lore first came to the CS2 scene on December 3, 2020, and was part of the Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package when the update "Operation Broken Fang" dropped. Since then, it's gained popularity due to its beautiful details and minimal wear condition. It is considered one of the most highly prized items that collectors and players are very eager to have in their possession.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is a souvenir skin that originates from a number of containers, such as the Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package, and Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package. It is also part of The Ancient Collection, which makes it highly sought after by players.

Popularity

Popularity

The XM1014 | Ancient Lore is one of the most sought-after items from CS2 players at 70% popularity, falling in the top 30% of the most wanted items within the game. Its desirability is evident within its daily sales volume and in the premium price it commands inside the market.

Rarity

Rarity

Since this particular skin is one out of 134 Shotgun skins that appear in CS2, The Ancient Lore XM1014 still is considered a rare catch. It has an extremely low drop chance; estimated by most traders as only 15.98 percent because it is a minimal-wear skin with Restricted Rarity.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) is a rather affordable skin, since its price starts at $0.44 and reaches $36.45. This skin is easy to get because it is available in various markets, which means that getting it to your collection shouldn't be a big problem. Since there are currently 10.8K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories, it is one of the most widely used skins by players.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the XM1014 | Ancient Lore in Minimal Wear ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, making this skin available in all exteriors, including Factory New and Field-Tested ones, and even Well-Worn ones. Moreover, each of its exteriors has a Souvenir version of Ancient Lore; this means collectors have vast options to get this wanted skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. Additionally, the skin holds prestige as it is owned by the renowned professional CS2 player, frozen, further enhancing its desirability among players.

Finish style

Finish style

This is a souvenir CS2 XM1014 Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) with a colorful "Anodized Multicolored" style. The candy coat in this souvenir is applied in a mesmerizing multicolored pattern. This in-game skin was achieved through techniques such as silk-screening or adherable stencils, just like in real life. The pattern index of the Ancient Lore finish greatly influences its overall aesthetic, adding a touch of uniqueness and individuality to each weapon.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 2.01 (-34.31%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.59 (-48.04%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 2.25 (-26.47%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 1.84 (-39.87%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players