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3 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
XM1014 | Ancient Lore, with its worn-out look, was presented to the CS2 community on December 3rd, 2020, along with the Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package, which was issued together with the "Operation Broken Fang" update. This rare shotgun immediately became highly desirable among collectors and players, being a sort of artifact from another age in the ever-changing world of Counter-Strike.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Well-Worn) can be obtained by opening one of the four containers that hold it, which are the Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, and The Ancient Collection. The wear on this skin tells stories of battles long forgotten and is highly sought after as a relic by collectors and players alike.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore is the most popular skin of all, accounting for about 30% of all sales in the CS2 market of this particular gun. Such an estimation is based on analyzing both the frequency of Skin's sales and its actual market price.
The Ancient Lore - Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore is a skin for the well-worn condition of 134 other shotgun skins in CS2. This is a quite rare skin, since it is a Restricted item, featuring an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore well-worn version is the most affordable option for CS2 players, with prices between $0.44 and $36.45. This skin is highly accessible since it is available in many markets, which contributes to its high demand. For instance, there are 10.8K units of the Ancient Lore skin in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, making sure the skin looks worn and battle-hardened. Besides that, a Souvenir version of Ancient Lore is available in all exteriors, allowing collectors to get extremely well-worn souvenirs from their favorite matches.
Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Well-Worn) has received quite a favorable community response, having more than 1.9K votes on addskins.gg with an impressive average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. Moreover, this skin is prestigious in some sense because it is owned by the professional CS2 player frozen.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Well-Worn) in CS2 has an "Anodized Multicolored" style, with the Ancient Lore finish giving off an air of history and mystery. The candy coat is applied in a careful, multicolored pattern, achieved through techniques like silk-screening or adherable stencils. It gives a special and overall look to Ancient Lore through the pattern index added, therefore bringing randomness into every individual skin.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 2.48 (-47.49%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2.36 (-50.03%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 2.69 (-43.04%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 4.19 (-11.29%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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