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8 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The XM1014 | Bone Machine first entered the world of CS2 on August 13th, 2014, when it was added along with the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package. This shotgun quickly became one of the hottest items in the game due to its battle-scarred appearance and its relation to the iconic "ESL One Cologne 2014" update.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Battle-Scarred) was introduced to CS2 via cases like Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package. It is part of The Cache Collection, making it one of the highly demanded skins by collectors and players alike.
The XM1014 | Bone Machine (Battle-Scarred) became very popular and is now included in the top 15% of the most popular skins in CS2. It has a very high popularity rating of 85%. This is judged by how many times this skin has been sold and by the skin's market real value.
There's a total of 134 other Shotgun skins, ranking the XM1014 | Bone Machine middle in this category. Its rarity gives it Mil-Spec Grade quality, and this makes its drop chance rather common around 79.92 percent, making the skin more accessible to the players easily.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Battle-Scarred) is a relatively cheap skin, which can be purchased within the price range of $2.81-$18.02, and is widely available in various markets. For example, there are already 68.4K units of the Bone Machine in public CS2 inventories.
This means the float value of the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is from 0.00 to 0.60, so every kind of exterior is available. On top of that, every type of exterior is provided by a souvenir version of the Bone Machine for collectors desiring a battle-scarred one.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Battle-Scarred) has received quite positive feedback from the community, as it has a very high average rating of 4.7 stars out of 5 from over 6.2K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further underlined by its ownership among notable professional CS2 players such as adren, chrisj, and pimp.
This Souvenir XM1014 is well-worn from battles, with the "Anodized Multicolored" style looking quite fetching, while the Bone Machine finish adds an interesting touch to this candy coat. The candy coat is applied with a bright multicolored pattern using a silk-screen or an attachable stencil process. The pattern index of the Bone Machine finish style affects the overall appearance, giving this skin a more unique and dynamic look.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 4 (-4.99%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 3.94 (-6.41%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 4.51 (7.13%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 6.7 (59.14%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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