Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New)

4.7 6220 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 16.69
+2.96%
In a quarter
$ 14.87
-8.27%
In half a year
$ 14.85
-8.39%
In a year
$ 28.27
+74.4%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
70% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
90 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 15.97
Avan.Market
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6 offers
from $ 17.81
Waxpeer
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9 offers
from $ 18.52
White.Market
White.Market
11 offers
from $ 18.53
Skinport
Skinport
12 offers
from $ 19.34
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
12 offers
from $ 19.36
Steam
Steam
18 offers
from $ 21.28
ShadowPay
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9 offers
from $ 22.82
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
5 offers
from $ 27.7
Bitskins
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1 offers
from $ 36.2
Inspect skin
Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New)
Gallery
XM1014 | Bone Machine inspecting XM1014 | Bone Machine reloading XM1014 | Bone Machine holding XM1014 | Bone Machine pose-1 XM1014 | Bone Machine pose-2 XM1014 | Bone Machine pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 15.97
  • 7 days low: $ 15.97
  • 7 days high: $ 46.83
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 15.97
  • 30 days high: $ 212
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 14.31
  • 90 days high: $ 212
  • Year low: $ 13.72
  • Year high: $ 212
  • All time low: $ 13.72
  • All time high: $ 340
  • All time max offers: 104
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3
  • Sales for last 30 days: 15
  • Sales for last 90 days: 39
  • All time sales: 130
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.81
  • Volatility: 8.9%
  • Liquidity: 6.66%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 16.69
  • Price forecast change in a month: 2.96%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 14.87
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -8.27%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 14.85
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -8.39%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 28.27
  • Price forecast change in a year: 74.4%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 16.12
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 16.12
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 17.22
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.1
6.82%
Result
👍 Success
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 17.46
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 17.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.11
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 18.7
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.59
9.32%
Result
👍 Success
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 17.95
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.95
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 18.8
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.86
4.77%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 20.58
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 18.33
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 18.33
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 16.12
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 16.12
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 17.22
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.1
6.82%
Result
👍 Success
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 17.46
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 22.14
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 20.55
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 17.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.11
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 14.32
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 17.77
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 18.03
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 18.7
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.59
9.32%
Result
👍 Success
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 17.95
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.95
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 15.92
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 18.8
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.86
4.77%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 20.58
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 18.33
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 18.33
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 16.21
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 3.55
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 69.51
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
4
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
70%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
52 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
260 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
305 offers on 8 markets

Description

History

History

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine was introduced into CS2 on August 13th, 2014, when it was released as part of the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package. This shotgun became highly desired due to its unique bone-themed design and association with the prestigious ESL One Cologne 2014 update.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine FN is a highly rare skin that can only be earned by opening any of its 12 containing cases such as the Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package. It was also part of The Cache Collection, hence, rarer and much more exclusive to the owners.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) boasts an incredible popularity of 85%, making it part of the exclusive top 15% of the most popular items in CS2. This incredible reputation is determined by taking a close look at its daily sales volume and the price of the skin, making it one of the most desirable choices among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Bone Machine is one of 134 other shotgun skins, making it a fairly common drop in CS2. With the rarity classification of Mil-Spec Grade, the estimated drop chance for the Bone Machine is 79.92%, further emphasizing its prevalence in the game.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) skin is pretty cheap. It has a price between $2.81 and $18.02. It is highly available because this skin can be easily accessed on multiple markets, making it quite easy for a player to buy it. Moreover, there is an extremely high supply of the Bone Machine skin in the public CS2 inventories: 68.4K units.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the XM1014 | Bone Machine ranges from 0.00 to 0.60, making all possible exterior skins available in this weapon. A souvenir variant of the Bone Machine is also available for each skin style, enabling players to collect a special version of the skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

CS2 Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine skin is a Factory New Skin which has received an overwhelming response from the community; the skin has more than 6.2k votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.7/5. This skin is that popular that even pro CS2 players adren, chrisj and pimp own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) in CS2 has a unique "Anodized Multicolored" style, featuring a bright candy coat skillfully applied in a striking multicolored pattern. The Bone Machine finish is uniquely influenced by its pattern index, making for a visually striking design that could be achieved through techniques like silk-screening or the use of adherable stencils in real life.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 16.69 (2.96%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 14.87 (-8.27%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 14.85 (-8.39%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 28.27 (74.4%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.