Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Field-Tested)

4.7 6235 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.04
+35.86%
Last month
$ 1.04
+35.86%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.89
+0.2577%
In a quarter
$ 3.99
+2.84%
In half a year
$ 4.1
+5.67%
In a year
$ 6.53
+68.3%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
81% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
89 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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from $ 6.87
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from $ 7.33
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from $ 11.7
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from $ 12.14
Inspect skin
Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Field-Tested)
Gallery
XM1014 | Bone Machine inspecting XM1014 | Bone Machine reloading XM1014 | Bone Machine holding XM1014 | Bone Machine pose-1 XM1014 | Bone Machine pose-2 XM1014 | Bone Machine pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.94
  • 24h price change: 1.55%
  • 7 days low: $ 2.9
  • 7 days high: $ 57.39
  • 7 days price change: 35.86%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.9
  • 30 days high: $ 57.81
  • 30 days price change: 35.86%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.82
  • 90 days high: $ 293
  • Year low: $ 2.82
  • Year high: $ 293
  • All time low: $ 2.66
  • All time high: $ 293
  • All time max offers: 167
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 26
  • Sales for last 30 days: 76
  • Sales for last 90 days: 185
  • All time sales: 497
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.97
  • Volatility: 20.21%
  • Liquidity: 10.63%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.89
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.2577%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.99
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.84%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 4.1
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 5.67%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 6.53
  • Price forecast change in a year: 68.3%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 5.49
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.88
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.88
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.94
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.06
1.23%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.27
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.27
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.49
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.88
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.88
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.53
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.29
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.98
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.49
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.08
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.65
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 4.32
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 3.87
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 4.05
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 4.94
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.06
1.23%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.27
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.27
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.14
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.54
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 5.33
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.06
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 9.15
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
81%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
51 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
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$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
258 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

History

History

The XM1014 | Bone Machine was introduced to CS2 on August 13th, 2014, and was part of the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package. This shotgun immediately caught players' attention due to its unique design, which had a bone theme, adding some sort of macabre to the battlefield.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Field-Tested) skin first appeared in CS2 as part of the Cache Collection. To get it, players have to open one of the 12 containers containing the skin, among which are Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package containers.

Popularity

Popularity

XM1014 | Bone Machine owns an impressive popularity among all CS2 skins - 85%, placing this skin among the leaders on the CS2 popularity top list. That means high daily sales volume of this particular skin and, correspondingly, a rather higher market price compared with other skins.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine is a CS2 skin that is one of 134 shotgun skins in the game. It is Mil-Spec Grade, which means it's relatively common; the drop chance is 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Bone Machine (Field-Tested) skin for CS2 is an affordable option, ranging in price from $2.81 to $18.02. It is widely available and can be purchased on various markets. Currently, there are 68.4K units of the Bone Machine in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Field-Tested) is available in all exteriors in CS2, and the float value ranges from 0.00 to 0.60. Additionally, for each exterior, there is a Souvenir version of the Bone Machine, making it a really diverse and realistic option not only for collectors but also for players.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine in CS2 is very positive. It holds an average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars from over 6.2K votes on addskins.gg, and ownership by professional players like adren, chrisj, and pimp further strengthens its popularity.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Field-Tested) features a very interesting "Anodized Multicolored" style, in which the candy coat is applied in a mesmerizing multicolored pattern. In reality, this finish could be accomplished with techniques such as silk-screening or the use of adherable stencils. The pattern index of the Bone Machine finish has an effect on its overall look, making it unique.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 3.89 (0.2577%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 3.99 (2.84%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 4.1 (5.67%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 6.53 (68.3%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.