Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Minimal Wear)

4.7 6258 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.32
+5.19%
Last month
$ 2.21
+51.64%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.57
-14.18%
In a quarter
$ 4.51
-30.51%
In half a year
$ 4.71
-27.43%
In a year
$ 7.85
+20.96%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
53 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 6.49
Skinport
Skinport
20 offers
from $ 6.66
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
6 offers
from $ 7.3
White.Market
White.Market
3 offers
from $ 7.63
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
2 offers
from $ 9.23
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 10.98
Steam
Steam
17 offers
from $ 11.4
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 20.08
Inspect skin
Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
XM1014 | Bone Machine inspecting XM1014 | Bone Machine reloading XM1014 | Bone Machine holding XM1014 | Bone Machine pose-1 XM1014 | Bone Machine pose-2 XM1014 | Bone Machine pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 6.49
  • 24h price change: 5.19%
  • 7 days low: $ 6.17
  • 7 days high: $ 70.26
  • 7 days price change: 5.19%
  • 30 days low: $ 4.28
  • 30 days high: $ 70.78
  • 30 days price change: 51.64%
  • 90 days low: $ 4.28
  • 90 days high: $ 71.14
  • Year low: $ 4.28
  • Year high: $ 337
  • All time low: $ 4.28
  • All time high: $ 337
  • All time max offers: 83
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 8
  • Sales for last 30 days: 30
  • Sales for last 90 days: 87
  • All time sales: 215
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.82
  • Volatility: 12.73%
  • Liquidity: 10.34%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.57
  • Price forecast change in a month: -14.18%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 4.51
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -30.51%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 4.71
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -27.43%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 7.85
  • Price forecast change in a year: 20.96%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 6.59
Action
📉 Sell
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.62
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.84
Action
📉 Sell
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.68
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 6.77
Action
📉 Sell
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 6.59
Action
📉 Sell
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.53
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.62
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.59
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.88
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.86
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.84
Action
📉 Sell
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.95
Action
📉 Sell
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 5.68
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 6.77
Action
📉 Sell
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 5.9
Action
📉 Sell
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 6
Action
📉 Sell
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.78
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.66
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.69
Action
📉 Sell
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 6.49
Action
📉 Sell
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
52 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
260 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
305 offers on 8 markets

Description

History

History

The XM1014 | Bone Machine first entered the world of CS2 on August 13th, 2014, when it was added along with the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package. This shotgun quickly became one of the hottest items in the game due to its battle-scarred appearance and its relation to the iconic "ESL One Cologne 2014" update.

Origin

Origin

XM1014 | Bone Machine has a Minimal Wear finish and is a well-appreciated souvenir skin in CS2; the only way to get it is to open one of the 12 containers with this skin inside. Among them are Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package. Moreover, the skin is part of The Cache Collection, making it even more desirable among collectors and enthusiasts.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Minimal Wear) is one of the most popular items within the CS2 community with an 85% popularity rating, placing the weapon in the top 15% of the most popular skins. This is determined through impressive sales volume every day, along with the skin selling at a premium.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Minimal Wear) is one of 134 other shotgun skins existing in CS2. This skin is Mil-Spec Grade, making it a rather common drop, with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Minimal Wear) skin is cheap and easy to get in CS2, since it costs in a range from $2.81 to $18.02, which is widely presented on different markets. It is easy to be bought by any player of this game. Moreover, there are 68.4K units of the Bone Machine skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Minimal Wear) exists in all exteriors and has a float value range from 0.00 to 0.60. There is also a Souvenir version for each exterior of the Bone Machine skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine Minimal Wear in CS2 is very positive; as it has received a great number of 4.7 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg, while its popularity within the professional players like adren, chrisj, and pimp further cements its place as one of the well-appreciated and in-demand skins.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Minimal Wear) in CS2 features an "Anodized Multicolored" style with a Bone Machine finish that closely resembles the effect of applying candy coat in a vibrant, multicolored pattern. The manufacturing process in real life for this style might involve silk-screening or using adherable stencils; the appearance of the Bone Machine finish would be determined by its pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 5.57 (-14.18%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 4.51 (-30.51%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 4.71 (-27.43%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 7.85 (20.96%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.