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6 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The XM1014 | Bone Machine first appeared on August 13th, 2014, at the time when it became part of the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package within the big "ESL One Cologne 2014" update. Ever since then, it has remained one of the hottest gifts for other players-a great example of an extremely worn-out view and a bit of in-game history added to their inventories.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Well-Worn) can be obtained by opening any of the 12 cases containing this skin, among which are Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package. Besides, it is included in The Cache Collection, which adds to its value and rarity.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Well-Worn) has a popularity of 85%, making it one of the most popular skins among CS2 players. This skin is in the top 15% of the rarest skins in the game, which is based on the analysis of daily sales volume and market value.
The XM1014 | Bone Machine (Well-Worn) is one of 134 other Shotgun skins in CS2. Since it belongs to Mil-Spec Grade, it is a relatively common drop with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, hence it's not too rare in the game.
The Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Well-Worn) for CS2 is an inexpensive skin, with prices fluctuating from $2.81 to $18.02. It's extremely easy to get since it's widely available in various markets - this means that a player would have plenty of chances to buy the skin. What's more, there's currently a huge supply of 68.4K units in public CS2 inventories.
The float value in CS2 for XM1014 | Bone Machine (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, which means this skin is rather worn, with a number of scratches and wear marks on its body. This Souvenir version is available in all kinds of exteriors, so it's possible to show one's battle-worn shotgun in all its glory in various conditions.
The community's attitude toward Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Well-Worn) for CS2 is extremely positive, since this skin has an incredibly high average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars, according to more than 6.2K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further enforced by its ownership from professional CS2 players like adren, chrisj, and pimp.
The Bone Machine finish on this Well-Worn Souvenir XM1014 sports a multicolored pattern applied in a candy coat style, reminiscent of the work that can be done with silk-screening or adherable stencils. The pattern index affects the overall look of the finish, creating a unique and realistic look of a well-loved firearm.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 5.89 (-0.1695%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 5 (-15.25%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 6.04 (2.37%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 12.9 (119.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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