Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred)

4.4 2345 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 4.31
+9.11%
In a quarter
$ 5.15
+30.38%
In half a year
$ 6.4
+62.03%
In a year
$ 11.3
+186.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
26 offers on 8 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 3.87
White.Market
White.Market
5 offers
from $ 4.11
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 4.13
Steam
Steam
9 offers
from $ 5.84
Skinport
Skinport
4 offers
from $ 7.61
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 8.13
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 11.68
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
2 offers
from $ 11.68
Inspect skin
Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
XM1014 | Fallout Warning inspecting XM1014 | Fallout Warning reloading XM1014 | Fallout Warning holding XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-1 XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-2 XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.87
  • 7 days low: $ 3.87
  • 7 days high: $ 24.64
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.87
  • 30 days high: $ 25
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.87
  • 90 days high: $ 69.27
  • Year low: $ 2.42
  • Year high: $ 337
  • All time low: $ 2.01
  • All time high: $ 337
  • All time max offers: 52
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 5
  • Sales for last 30 days: 17
  • Sales for last 90 days: 52
  • All time sales: 161
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 11.07
  • Volatility: 8.92%
  • Liquidity: 7.17%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 4.31
  • Price forecast change in a month: 9.11%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 5.15
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 30.38%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 6.4
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 62.03%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 11.3
  • Price forecast change in a year: 186.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.85
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.85
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.85
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.85
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.82
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.53
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 4.86
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 4.84
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.61
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.22
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.15
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 5.3
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 5.47
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 4.11
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.88
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.48
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.22
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.62
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 4.03
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 3.85
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
49 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 121%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
$ 17.27 $ 44.94
9 offers on 2 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
255 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
307 offers on 8 markets

Description

Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) is an extremely powerful automatic shotgun, hurling bullets in seconds with incomparable speed. The outer of the gun has been designed using the spray paint pattern displaying the radiological warning pattern. It gives it an element of hazard that makes it look much more dangerous than it really is.

History

History

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning came to the virtual world of CS2 on August 14th, 2013, alongside the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package. This iconic shotgun finally began to be available in gameplay with the release of the "The Arms Deal" update, adding a post-apocalyptic touch to every gamer's arsenal.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) can be obtained from one of the eight containers it occupies, among which are Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. Besides, this is a skin that belongs to The Nuke Collection, which gives special value and demand to the skin among CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) is one of the most popular skins, which is now holding a spot in the top 30% of the most popular items in CS2. Its popularity rating of 70% is based on the skin's daily sales volume and its current price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) is one of 134 other skins for the shotgun class in CS2. This particular skin comes in an Industrial Grade quality, which is considered a relatively common and frequently occurring skin in-game.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Battle-Scarred Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, which will allow this skin to be obtained in all levels of wear. Besides, players are able to find Souvenir versions of the Battle-Scarred exterior for the XM1014 | Fallout Warning, which gives a possibility to collect this skin in its unique souvenir form.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) for CS2 is very positive, with an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars with over 2.2K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, the skin is highly regarded among pro CS2 players like get_right, arya, and shroud, all of whom have added the skin to their collections.

Finish style

Finish style

This Battle-Scarred Souvenir XM1014 Fallout Warning has a spray-painted look with the Fallout Warning finish, featuring multiple coats applied in a stencil pattern. The predominant color of this skin is a bright red tint, while pattern indexes do not affect the Fallout Warning appearance.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 4.31 (9.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 5.15 (30.38%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 6.4 (62.03%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 11.3 (186.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.62
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.