Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear)

4.4 2245 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 6.73
+69.31%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 16.58
-0.89%
In a quarter
$ 15.74
-5.91%
In half a year
$ 18.2
+8.79%
In a year
$ 37.74
+126.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
80% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
32 offers on 4 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
4 offers
from $ 16.44
Skinport
Skinport
12 offers
from $ 19.89
Steam
Steam
13 offers
from $ 27.66
Bitskins
Bitskins
3 offers
from $ 31.19
Inspect skin
Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
XM1014 | Fallout Warning inspecting XM1014 | Fallout Warning reloading XM1014 | Fallout Warning holding XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-1 XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-2 XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 16.44
  • 7 days low: $ 16.44
  • 7 days high: $ 200
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 9.71
  • 30 days high: $ 200
  • 30 days price change: 69.31%
  • 90 days low: $ 9.71
  • 90 days high: $ 200
  • Year low: $ 7.95
  • Year high: $ 2 596
  • All time low: $ 7.95
  • All time high: $ 2 596
  • All time max offers: 41
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 21
  • Sales for last 90 days: 45
  • All time sales: 116
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 4.88
  • Volatility: 9.34%
  • Liquidity: 6.78%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 16.58
  • Price forecast change in a month: -0.89%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 15.74
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -5.91%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 18.2
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 8.79%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 37.74
  • Price forecast change in a year: 126.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 12.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.57
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 17.7
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.13
40.83%
Result
👍 Success
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 17.7
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.7
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 12.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.57
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 12.39
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 10.52
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 17.7
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.13
40.83%
Result
👍 Success
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 17.7
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.7
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 17.73
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 17.52
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 15.28
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 16.61
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 16.32
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 16.73
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 14.62
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 15.21
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 14.41
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 14.65
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 17.32
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 5.13
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 30.27
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
52 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
260 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
306 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning is an automatic shotgun that unleashes its ammunition in a fast, deadly spray, and when it does, the damage is bound to be unstoppable. Its striking design is marked by radiological warning hazard patterns spray-painted onto its surface, lending a touch of danger and intrigue to its appearance.

History

History

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning first showed up on August 14th, 2013, as part of the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package and "The Arms Deal" update to the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community. It was one of the highly sought-after CS2 collectibles ever since the beginning.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) was forged in the depths of nuclear fallout, its design inspired by the harrowing warnings of a post-apocalyptic world. It can only be acquired by opening one of the 8 containers that hold this rare and ominous skin, including Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, or Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) is a popular choice among CS2 players, boasting a popularity rating of 70%. For that reason, it takes the top 30% of the most wanted items in this game, based on its daily sales volume and current real market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning is a relatively common skin, for there are 134 other Shotgun skins, and having an Industrial Grade rarity the Fallout Warning is a quite often skin and can be easily obtained.

Availability

Availability

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) is an inexpensive skin, with prices varying in a range from $2.06 to $117.89, which makes it within reach for players with different budgets. Besides, it's available on multiple markets, which means that the player will be able to buy it without problems. One more proof of popularity: at this moment, the Fallout Warning has 15.7K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) can be found in all exteriors of CS2, ranging from 0.06 to 0.80 in their float value. Moreover, there is a Souvenir version available for each exterior, making the skin collectible in several conditions.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is really great, with many votes and an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. Its popularity can also be seen from the fact that it is owned by well-known CS2 players like get_right, arya, and shroud.

Finish style

Finish style

This The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) skin in CS2 features a "Spray-Paint" style, with stenciled patterns carefully sprayed with up to four layers of spray paint. The overwhelming red hue conveys urgency and danger, while the pattern indexes don't change the dramatic effect of the Fallout Warning finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 16.58 (-0.89%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 15.74 (-5.91%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 18.2 (8.79%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 37.74 (126.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.