Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn)

4.4 2361 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.52
+8.01%
Last month
$ 1.44
+25.85%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 6.72
-21.84%
In a quarter
$ 6.5
-24.4%
In half a year
$ 6.76
-21.38%
In a year
$ 14.09
+63.88%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
0% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
25 offers on 4 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
14 offers
from $ 7.01
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 8.58
Skinport
Skinport
7 offers
from $ 9.74
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 22
Inspect skin
Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn)
Gallery
XM1014 | Fallout Warning inspecting XM1014 | Fallout Warning reloading XM1014 | Fallout Warning holding XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-1 XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-2 XM1014 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 7.01
  • 24h price change: 3.24%
  • 7 days low: $ 6.49
  • 7 days high: $ 115
  • 7 days price change: 8.01%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.57
  • 30 days high: $ 116
  • 30 days price change: 25.85%
  • 90 days low: $ 4
  • 90 days high: $ 117
  • Year low: $ 2.74
  • Year high: $ 1 148
  • All time low: $ 2.63
  • All time high: $ 1 148
  • All time max offers: 34
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 6
  • Sales for last 30 days: 10
  • Sales for last 90 days: 29
  • All time sales: 99
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 5.07
  • Volatility: 7.16%
  • Liquidity: 7.16%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 6.72
  • Price forecast change in a month: -21.84%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 6.5
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -24.4%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 6.76
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -21.38%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 14.09
  • Price forecast change in a year: 63.88%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 7.01
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.01
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 7.01
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.01
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.87
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 7.56
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.5
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.5
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.5
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.01
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 8.17
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 8.22
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 5.66
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 7.01
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 5.07
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.9
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.99
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.07
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 7.03
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 7.01
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
0%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
52 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
260 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
306 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is a powerful automatic shotgun that has earned its much higher value through the storms of lethal pellets it sends out. The surface has been painted with radiological warning hazard patterns to act as a grim omen of things to come from this deadly firearm.

History

History

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning was introduced in CS2 on August 14th, 2013, and was part of the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package. This shotgun skin was well-worn and depicted the aftermath of a nuclear disaster, one of many skins that became available to players when "The Arms Deal" update went live.

Origin

Origin

This Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning skin can be obtained through unboxing one of the eight containers that house this exact skin, such as Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. Additionally, this skin is part of The Nuke Collection, further making it rare and sought-after by collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is popular, currently holding a position in the top 30% of the most popular items in CS2. Such a conclusion can be drawn by looking at the skin's daily sales volume and its market price, which are very high and give grounds for such a high demand and value for this skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is one of 134 other skins in the shotgun category of CS2. This skin is industrial grade, meaning it is relatively common and can often be seen in-game.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) for CS2 is available starting from $2.06-$117.89, which is pretty reasonable. Currently, this skin is abundant and can be spotted in various markets. As proof of its popularity, there are 15.7K units of the Fallout Warning skin present in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) exists in all exteriors of CS2, and has float values from 0.06 to 0.80, so it's very possible for players to find the look that appeals to them most. Additionally, there are also Souvenir versions of the Fallout Warning available in each exterior for collectors to give a personal touch to their collection.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) in CS2 has received more than 2.2K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, thus getting significant attention from the community. Its popularity is further emphasized by the fact that such professional players as get_right, arya, and shroud possess it.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) in CS2 has a "Spray-Paint" style. Thin layers of paint were carefully applied with a stencil pattern, which gives an interesting design on the skin's body. Its overall appearance features a pronounced red tint while the pattern indexes do nothing to the Fallout Warning finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 6.72 (-21.84%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 6.5 (-24.4%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 6.76 (-21.38%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 14.09 (63.88%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.