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5 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue is a powerful, fully automatic shotgun that makes the higher cost well worth it, spraying an area with lethal firepower in rapid succession. With a sleek design, its VariCamo hydrographic pattern brings out the idea of needing to rebuild after devastation has run its course.
The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue first appeared in CS2 on July 1st, 2014, when it was added to the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package. This shotgun skin gained a lot of popularity in no time among the players when a new update, "Operation Breakout," came out and included new game modes and maps.
Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) is a skin in demand. It's one of those rare in-game items which players are able to get only through the opening of one of 17 containers with the drop of such skin: Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package containers, for example. Besides, the skin belongs to The Overpass Collection.
The Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) is popular, featuring a popularity rating of 75%. This makes it one of the most wanted skins in CS2, factoring in its daily sales volume and price in the market.
The Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) is a skin from 134 other skins for shotguns in CS2. Mil-Spec Grade implies it's not the rarest drop. A rough estimation suggests that this particular drop has a drop chance of 79.92%.
Priced between $0.16 and $10.78, the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue skin offers an affordable option for CS2 players. Luckily, this skin is readily accessible as it is widely available on various markets. In fact, there are currently 28.8K units of the VariCamo Blue skin in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the XM1014 | VariCamo Blue skin in CS2 ranges from the very lowest value of 0.00 to the very highest of 0.50 to make sure that the skin exists in all possible exterior versions. In addition, for every exterior, there is a Souvenir version of the VariCamo Blue skin, making it possible for players to collect and showcase their favorite exterior with a special edition twist.
The Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) attracts a large amount of love from the community, gaining more than 2.3K votes on addskins.gg and receiving an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Popularity-wise, it finds its place in the arms of famous professional CS2 players like pyth, daps, and alex.
The pattern index of the VariCamo Blue finish on this Factory New Souvenir XM1014 dictates the relative density and placement of the blue tint, creating an incredibly unique and visually striking camouflage pattern. The hydrographic skin application method adds depth to the skin, making this a really realistic and desirable skin for any CS2 player.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 1.89 (-8.25%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.86 (-9.71%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 2.02 (-1.94%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 3.29 (59.71%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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