Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear)

4.8 2339 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.12
+13.79%
Last month
$ 0.19
+23.75%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.23
-8.89%
In a quarter
$ 1.15
-14.81%
In half a year
$ 0.93
-31.11%
In a year
$ 1.16
-14.07%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
73% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
77 offers on 8 markets
Updated8 minutes ago
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from $ 4
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Inspect skin
Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue inspecting XM1014 | VariCamo Blue reloading XM1014 | VariCamo Blue holding XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-1 XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-2 XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.99
  • 7 days low: $ 0.87
  • 7 days high: $ 23.19
  • 7 days price change: 13.79%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.8
  • 30 days high: $ 41.26
  • 30 days price change: 23.75%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.6
  • 90 days high: $ 41.26
  • Year low: $ 0.448
  • Year high: $ 755
  • All time low: $ 0.448
  • All time high: $ 755
  • All time max offers: 177
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 13
  • Sales for last 7 days: 75
  • Sales for last 30 days: 260
  • Sales for last 90 days: 587
  • All time sales: 1956
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.94
  • Volatility: 17.64%
  • Liquidity: 11.45%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.23
  • Price forecast change in a month: -8.89%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.15
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -14.81%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.93
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -31.11%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1.16
  • Price forecast change in a year: -14.07%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.78
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.78
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.82
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.04
5.13%
Result
👍 Success
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.83
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.83
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.83
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.3
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.472
57.07%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.78
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.78
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.78
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.67
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.69
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.69
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.6
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.6
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.65
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.69
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.82
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.04
5.13%
Result
👍 Success
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.83
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.89
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.83
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.85
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.83
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.83
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.3
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.472
57.07%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.51
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1.61
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
73%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
46 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue, Minimal Wear, is one heavy-hitting automatic shotgun-one that will be used for a long time on many a battlefield. This neat piece of design has acquired an added flair with this Varicamo hydrographic pattern, making it eye-catchy in any action-packed scenario.

History

History

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue appeared in the CS2 community for the first time on July 1st, 2014, and was a part of the Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package. This package was released together with the "Operation Breakout" update, which gave players a chance to get this particular shotgun with a minimal wear finish.

Origin

Origin

This Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) skin can be obtained from unboxing one of the 17 containers that contain this skin, including Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. This skin also belongs to The Overpass Collection, which gives players an opportunity to get it into their inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) stands as highly wanted with 75% popularity, standing amongst the top 25 percent of skins that are craved for in CS2. This is taken from the high sales and a pretty high price level in the case of this skin, considering all the other items in its category.

Rarity

Rarity

XM1014 | VariCamo Blue is a skin and the 134th of a shotgun in CS: GO. It falls in the category of Mil-Spec Grade, making it a pretty common drop with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) for CS2 is an affordable option, since its price is at $0.16-$10.78. The availability of this skin is Very many because it drops not rarely and can be obtained on many markets which makes it easy to buy. Also, there are 28.8K units of VariCamo Blue skin in total, which is present in community and public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float range for the Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is from 0.00 to 0.50, meaning the skin has the potential to be acquired in all the possible externals. There is a Souvenir for each variety of VariCamo Blue in every different exterior as well.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is very positive, with an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars, over 2.3K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further evidenced by its ownership among professional players such as pyth, daps, and alex.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index of this particular XM1014 defines how saturated and dense the color will be, giving its iconic blue tint a lively yet aggressive look. The usage of the hydrographic method allowed making the coverage utterly seamless and smooth, while all the parts of this weapon seem to be immersed into some pool of blue colored camouflage.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 1.23 (-8.89%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.15 (-14.81%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.93 (-31.11%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 1.16 (-14.07%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.