Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn)

4.8 2471 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.01
+0.75%
Last month
$ 1.03
+332%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.72
+28.36%
In a quarter
$ 1.35
+0.75%
In half a year
$ 1.54
+14.93%
In a year
$ 2.6
+94.03%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
87% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
34 offers on 8 markets
Updated9 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
22 offers
from $ 1.34
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 1.92
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 1.92
White.Market
White.Market
3 offers
from $ 1.92
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 1.92
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
4 offers
from $ 1.95
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 2
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 23.77
Inspect skin
Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn)
Gallery
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue inspecting XM1014 | VariCamo Blue reloading XM1014 | VariCamo Blue holding XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-1 XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-2 XM1014 | VariCamo Blue pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.34
  • 7 days low: $ 1.33
  • 7 days high: $ 24.64
  • 7 days price change: 0.75%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.31
  • 30 days high: $ 24.99
  • 30 days price change: 332%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.31
  • 90 days high: $ 24.99
  • Year low: $ 0.31
  • Year high: $ 24.99
  • All time low: $ 0.31
  • All time high: $ 24.99
  • All time max offers: 49
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3
  • Sales for last 30 days: 30
  • Sales for last 90 days: 64
  • All time sales: 227
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.59
  • Volatility: 10.34%
  • Liquidity: 7.52%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.72
  • Price forecast change in a month: 28.36%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.35
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 0.75%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1.54
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 14.93%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2.6
  • Price forecast change in a year: 94.03%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.14
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.14
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.86
75.44%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.14
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.14
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.09
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.98
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.26
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.28
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.18
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.18
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.68
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.17
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.28
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.23
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.4
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.27
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.94
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.36
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 2
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.86
75.44%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.86
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1.14
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
87%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
46 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) is a formidable automatic shotgun that commands attention with its rapid-fire capabilities and devastating impact. Its hydrographic VariCamo pattern adds a touch of uniqueness, showcasing the weapon's resilience amidst chaos and the artistry born from destruction.

History

History

The XM1014 | VariCamo Blue was introduced in CS2 on July 1st, 2014, and featured in the highly anticipated Paris 2023 Overpass Souvenir Package. This well-worn shotgun gained popularity among players for its unique blue camouflage pattern and became a sought-after item following its release alongside the "Operation Breakout" update.

Origin

Origin

XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) has a chance to be dropped during the opening of any of the 17 containers featuring this skin, among which are Antwerp 2022 Overpass Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Overpass Souvenir Package, and Berlin 2019 Overpass Souvenir Package. This skin also enters The Overpass Collection, which means that its drop chance is higher in comparison with other skins.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) is very popular among CS2 players, with an avarage popularity of 75%. It always occupies the top 25% in the most sold items in a day because of its high sales volume and favorable skin market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) has a total of 134 other CS2 shotgun skins. It features a Mil-Spec Grade rarity classification and is relatively abundant, considering an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) skin in CS2 falls in an affordable price range: from $0.16 to $10.78. It's currently widely available in multiple markets, and thus easy to get for players. Besides, 28.8K units of the VariCamo Blue skin are currently in public CS2 inventories, which indicates its popularity among players.

Versions

Versions

For this skin, CS2 Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue - Well-Worn-is presented in all possible types, the floats lie in a large field, from 0.00 to 0.50. Moreover, every skin is available in each version (such as StatTrak Tradeable, StatTrak Grade, Grade Tradeable).

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment regarding the Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) in CS2 is extremely positive, with an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars based on over 2.3K votes on addskins.gg. In addition, its popularity is further proven by ownership of this skin by famous professional CS2 players like pyth, daps, and alex.

Finish style

Finish style

The disassembled weapon parts of this Souvenir XM1014 are carefully dipped into a water tank with a floating hydrographic film, resulting in a VariCamo Blue finish. The combination of a blue tint as the primary color and the pattern index influences the overall appearance of this skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 1.72 (28.36%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1.35 (0.75%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 1.54 (14.93%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.6 (94.03%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.