StatTrak AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)

4.6 2589 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 90
+10.06%
Last month
$ 404
+69.54%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 993
-4.54%
In a quarter
$ 1 126
+8.25%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
80% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
48 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)
Gallery
AWP | Lightning Strike inspecting AWP | Lightning Strike reloading AWP | Lightning Strike holding AWP | Lightning Strike pose-1 AWP | Lightning Strike pose-2 AWP | Lightning Strike pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 985
  • 7 days low: $ 895
  • 7 days high: $ 3 280
  • 7 days price change: 10.06%
  • 30 days low: $ 581
  • 30 days high: $ 3 280
  • 30 days price change: 69.54%
  • 90 days low: $ 581
  • 90 days high: $ 3 280
  • Year low: $ 581
  • Year high: $ 161 815
  • All time low: $ 581
  • All time high: $ 161 815
  • All time max offers: 83
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 6
  • Sales for last 30 days: 27
  • Sales for last 90 days: 58
  • All time sales: 183
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1846
  • Volatility: 13.39%
  • Liquidity: 22.17%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 993
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.54%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 126
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 8.25%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 963
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 960
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 899
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 899
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 1 048
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 149
16.59%
Result
👍 Success
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 963
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 960
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 976
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 924
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 928
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 898
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 927
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 989
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 935
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 998
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 1 027
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 985
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 037
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 011
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 899
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 899
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 1 048
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 149
16.59%
Result
👍 Success
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 149
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 899
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
8684
143140
115112
458447
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 5/30
  • Damage: 115
  • Spread: 0.2
  • Rate of fire: 41
  • Movement speed: 200
  • Kill reward: $ 100
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The AWP | Lightning Strike Factory New is a very fearsome weapon in the hands of a good sniper, able to kill with one shot or miss with equally disappointing results. This has a sleek, anodized lightning strike pattern adding an electrifying touch to its already intimidating presence. With this beauty, all you need is precision and super-fast reflexes to make your mark on the battlefield.

History

History

The StatTrak AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) was released on August 14th, 2013, in the CS2 community, along with "The Arms Deal" update, which introduced weapon skins to the game. Since then, this highly valued sniper rifle has become a symbol of prestige and skill, featuring a lightning-themed design with the StatTrak feature to track the number of kills made with it, thus making it highly sought after by players.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) is one of the most wanted skins. Players can obtain it through the CS2 Weapon Case container. It therefore provides a possibility to gain this rare and really outstandingly looking weapon. The skin belongs to The Arms Deal Collection, which involves various unique and valuable skins for weapons, that the player can get and later trade in the game.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) has a popularity rating of 95%, which makes it highly in demand. Its extreme popularity makes it one of the most wanted CS2 skins, measured by its daily sales volume and price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak AWP | Lightning Strike Factory New is an ultra-rare skin out of the total 125 Sniper Rifle skins that come in CS2, and going by its Covert rare skin, the drop chance of the Lightning Strike is as low as 0.64%.

Availability

Availability

Among those highly sought-after skins is the StatTrak AWP | Lightning Strike for CS2; this skin's price hovers in the range of 562.36-$901.57. Despite such a high and expensive price, right now, it is rather easily available for purchase in all markets and can be bought by literally anyone willing to invest in such an expensive skin. Now, to talk about its popularity- there are 28.2K units of this Lightning Strike skin present in public CS2 inventories at this time.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak AWP | Lightning Strike lies between 0.00 and 0.08, and because of that, the skin is available in Factory New and Minimal Wear conditions. For every version of exterior skin, there is also a corresponding StatTrak version of the Lightning Strike.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

So generally positive, the community considers a StatTrak AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) CS2 skin in community ratings, with 4.6 out of five-star reviews over more than 2.5k votes on addskins dot com. Its prestige value is further cemented when this skin is considered good enough for ownership among professionals like bondik, karrigan, and boltz.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak AWP | Lightning Strike has a colorful "Anodized Multicolored" style, featuring a candy coat applied in a mesmerizing multicolored pattern. The dominant color of this skin is an alluring purple tint. The Lightning Strike finish always has the same look and is unaffected by the pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 993 (-4.54%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1 126 (8.25%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

All sniper rifle